Liverpool predictions: Where will Liverpool finish in the 26/27 Premier League?

Liverpool have answered their defeat to Manchester City with two wins, although neither offers a simple verdict on the team. Six goals at LASK demonstrated the attack's potential. The comeback at Brentford needed the help of a first-half sending off and came with two more injuries.

Andoni Iraola now has evidence that his forwards are connecting more effectively. He also has fewer options around them. The season outlook depends on whether Liverpool can turn their best attacking passages into a more dependable performance across an entire match.

Updated October 19, 2026, ahead of Gameweek 8.

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Liverpool season snapshot entering Gameweek 8

• Position: Fifth
• Matches played: 7
• Record: 3 wins, 3 draws, 1 defeat
• Points: 12
• Goals scored: 9
• Goals conceded: 8
• Goal difference: +1
• Latest league result: Brentford 1–2 Liverpool, October 17
• Premier League title probability: 14%

Liverpool are in the upper part of the league table, but their narrow goal difference reflects how closely contested much of their league campaign has been. They have lost only once. Three draws have nevertheless limited the points return.

Liverpool title prediction and latest odds

Prediction markets give Liverpool a 14% chance of winning the 2026/27 Premier League, compared with Arsenal at 63%, Manchester City at 22% and Chelsea at 18%. See our wider Premier League winner prediction for full context on the title battle.

Market data as of October 19, 2026. For the latest market-implied probability, check the OG app.

Liverpool remain an outsider in the championship market. There is a plausible attacking case for improvement: Alexander Isak is scoring, Bradley Barcola has made a breakthrough in Europe and Florian Wirtz has supplied decisive passes.

The difficulty is sustaining that improvement through injuries and different match situations. Liverpool still need to control games when the opposition have a full team and when protecting a lead becomes the priority.

For Liverpool, the useful football question is how much of the recent attacking improvement can carry into regular league performances.

See more Premier League predictions:

• Arsenal 26/27 prediction
• Manchester City 26/27 prediction
• Manchester United 26/27 prediction
• Chelsea 26/27 prediction
• Aston Villa 26/27 prediction
• Tottenham 26/27 prediction

What Liverpool's recent results reveal

The City defeat needs the red-card context

Liverpool lost 3–0 to Manchester City on October 11, but the match was goalless when Ryan Gravenberch received a second yellow card after 62 minutes. City scored all three goals afterward.

That distinction prevents an inaccurate reading of the result. Liverpool had competed before the dismissal; the final score was not a measure of an entire afternoon played at equal strength.

The collapse after losing a midfielder still exposed a problem. Liverpool could not contain City's attacking changes once the space increased. The lesson concerns adaptation and protection as well as discipline.

LASK showed what Wirtz and Barcola can create together

Barcola scored a hat-trick in the 6–3 Champions League win at LASK. The movement around Wirtz gave Liverpool routes into the penalty area, while the fullbacks also helped create goals.

It was an encouraging demonstration of players connecting their individual strengths: a creator receiving with options, runners moving beyond defenders and deliveries reaching attackers close to goal.

The defensive scoreline requires context, too. Liverpool led 6–1 before conceding twice late on. The match was not an evenly balanced nine-goal contest, although allowing those late goals still left Iraola something to address.

Brentford brought three points and a fresh availability problem

Isak scored the winner in the 2–1 victory at Brentford, after Víctor Muñoz equalized from Wirtz's pass. Barcola supplied the knockdown for the decisive finish.

Brentford had led before Yehor Yarmoliuk was sent off in first-half stoppage time. Their second dismissal, for Vitaly Janelt, came late in the match. Liverpool completed the turnaround against 10 players, not nine.

The win was valuable, but it did not settle every concern. Liverpool still allowed Brentford a chance to equalize, while Dominik Szoboszlai and Jeremie Frimpong both had to leave the field injured.

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Liverpool's tactical setup and selection: what has changed?

Isak is producing, making reliable service more important

Isak's Brentford goal took him to five in the Premier League this season. The old preseason question about whether he could start scoring has a more current answer.

The next issue is how Liverpool reach him. His winning finish came after Alexis Mac Allister's delivery and Barcola's knockdown, a sequence involving support around the striker as well as the striker's own quality.

Liverpool need that variety. Wirtz can release a runner through the middle; a wide attacker can create from outside; a supporting player can keep a move alive near goal. The more routes work, the harder it becomes to isolate Isak from the game.

Wirtz needs runners and a platform behind him

The team at Brentford used a 4-2-3-1 structure, with Wirtz behind Isak and Barcola and Muñoz in the wide attacking positions. Mac Allister and Szoboszlai started in midfield.

Wirtz's passing becomes more dangerous when he receives facing forward and somebody attacks the space ahead. The recent combinations offer evidence of that connection developing. They do not remove the need for a balanced midfield behind him.

If too many players move beyond the ball simultaneously, a failed attack can leave the central defenders facing runners with little protection. If everybody stays deep, Wirtz has fewer options and the attack becomes easier to contain. Iraola's task is to coordinate those movements, not simply choose the most attacking names.

The right-back problem changes more than one position

Ronald Araújo started at right back against Brentford. Frimpong replaced him at halftime, then had to go off himself. Muñoz filled in on the right of defense and still contributed the equalizer.

That response showed flexibility in an emergency. It is not evidence that moving an attacker into defense is the best settled arrangement.

The selection affects how Liverpool press and who provides width. A defender holding a more conservative position can offer protection behind the winger. A fullback pushing high can help the attack, provided the midfield and nearest center back cover the space he leaves.

Gravenberch's return widens the midfield choices

Liverpool's official availability update confirms that Gravenberch has served his one-match league suspension. His absence at Brentford should not be repeated as an ongoing ban.

He gives Iraola another central option at a time when Szoboszlai is unavailable. The selection question is how to combine ball progression, defensive coverage and support for Wirtz. Returning a midfielder to the side helps only if the surrounding responsibilities remain clear.

Liverpool injuries and squad management

Szoboszlai's latest problem is a recurrence of his previous injury, while Frimpong suffered a new issue at Brentford. Iraola said both would be unavailable for a period, without giving a precise return date.

Conor Bradley, Hugo Ekitike and Giovanni Leoni also remain in rehabilitation according to the club's current injury list. Being included in a competition squad does not establish that a player is ready to return to matches.

These absences have different consequences. Bradley and Frimpong restrict the right-back options. Szoboszlai's absence removes a midfield choice, while Ekitike's recovery limits established alternatives through the middle of the attack.

There are available options elsewhere. Trey Nyoni, Rio Ngumoha and Lewis Koumas appeared against Brentford, while Cody Gakpo was on the bench. The question is how Iraola uses those players while preserving the combinations that are beginning to work.

What could move Liverpool's odds during the season?

More complete league performances. Liverpool's strongest attacking spells need to be accompanied by control before and after taking the lead. Matches played at equal strength provide a clearer test than a comeback helped by a dismissal.

Isak's availability and supply. His scoring has improved. Keeping him fit and creating chances through several routes would make the attack less dependent on exceptional finishing.

The Wirtz–Barcola connection. Recent combinations have produced goals. Repeating those movements against stronger resistance would strengthen the case that the attack is settling.

The midfield and right-back solutions. Gravenberch's return helps the available midfield pool, but the new injuries require further decisions. A stable arrangement needs to protect the defense without starving the forwards of support.

The wider title race. The leading clubs' results and any official developments in City's disciplinary proceedings can also change Liverpool's price. Neither creates a substitute for Liverpool collecting points themselves.

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