How to trade economic prediction markets

Will the Fed cut interest rates at its next meeting? Will the next inflation reading come in above 3%? Economic prediction markets let traders take positions on questions like these, with prices reflecting an implied probability of an event happening.

Unemployment rate prediction September 2026

September’s jobs report will test whether US hiring can maintain its momentum, with 4.1% leading the prediction markets probabilities.

By Ekaterina Drozdovica

Fed rate decision preview: will the Fed hike interest rates in September 2026?

Here is what could shape the Fed’s September decision – and what OG.com traders are predicting.

By Ekaterina Drozdovica

August jobs report preview: US unemployment rate forecast

The US labor market has entered what economists call a “low hire, low fire economy”.