US Recession by End of 2026Feb 1, 2027 3:59 am UTCYes0123456789.01234567890123456789x12%12%No0123456789.01234567890123456789x98%12%$413,258 vol.
Fed Decision in Oct 2026Oct 29, 3:59 am UTC0bps (Unchanged)0123456789.01234567890123456789x88%88%Hike <=25bps0123456789.01234567890123456789x21%88%$68,683 vol.+3 more outcomes
Fed Decision in Dec 2026Dec 10, 4:59 am UTCHike <=25bps0123456789.01234567890123456789x79%79%0bps (Unchanged)0123456789.01234567890123456789x27%79%$31,061 vol.+3 more outcomes
Fed Decision in Jan 2027Jan 28, 2027 4:59 am UTC0bps (Unchanged)0123456789.01234567890123456789x70%70%Hike <=25bps0123456789.01234567890123456789x36%70%$6,037 vol.+3 more outcomes
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?Mar 2, 2027 4:59 am UTCYes0123456789.01234567890123456789x97%97%$5,307 vol.
ECB Interest Rates in Dec 2026Dec 18, 4:59 am UTCHike <=25bps0123456789.01234567890123456789x81%81%Hike >25bps0123456789.01234567890123456789x34%81%$1,513 vol.+3 more outcomes
ECB Interest Rates in Oct 2026Oct 30, 3:59 am UTC0bps (Unchanged)0123456789.01234567890123456789x98%98%Hike <=25bps0123456789.01234567890123456789x12%98%NEW+3 more outcomes
Inflation in Sep 2026Oct 15, 3:59 am UTC0.6%0123456789.01234567890123456789x50%50%0.5%0123456789.01234567890123456789x37%50%NEW+7 more outcomes
Jobs Added in Oct 2026Nov 6, 1:30 pm UTC>100k0123456789.01234567890123456789x78%78%25k - 50k0123456789.01234567890123456789x71%78%NEW+5 more outcomes
Unemployment Rate in Oct 2026Nov 6, 1:30 pm UTC4.1%0123456789.01234567890123456789x51%51%4.2%0123456789.01234567890123456789x42%51%NEW+7 more outcomes
