Michigan Wolverines at Oregon Ducks prediction, start time and team news on Nov. 14, 2026

The Wolverines at Ducks game on Saturday, Nov. 14, pairs a Big Ten team gaining momentum with one in flux. The Ducks (6-3, 4-2 Big Ten) are No. 18 in the AP Top 25 and No. 16 in the College Football Playoff rankings released Nov. 10. They have beaten the Wildcats and the Buckeyes in their last two games. The Wolverines (5-4, 2-4) fired offensive coordinator Jason Beck after a 15-6 loss to the Spartans and have not named a starting quarterback.

Kickoff at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, Oregon, is 3:30 p.m. ET on FS1. The Ducks have won three straight against the Wolverines, and quarterback Dylan Raiola has thrown no interceptions in his last three starts.

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

When is Wolverines vs Ducks?

• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET
• Competition: College football, Week 11
• Home team: Ducks
• Wolverines win: 22%
• Ducks win: 86%

What is the Wolverines vs Ducks prediction?

The Ducks are favorites at 86%, with the Wolverines at 22%, according to OG.com prediction markets. Market data as of November 11, 2026. For the latest market probabilities, check the OG.com platform.

The case for the Ducks starts with a Wolverines offense that averages 19.6 points and 303 yards per game, which ESPN team statistics rank 126th and 132nd nationally. The Wolverines have also thrown nine interceptions, tied for 113th, while the Ducks have 10 interceptions, tied for 15th. A struggling offense that gives the ball away against a defense that takes it away is the clearest mismatch on the field.

The Wolverines' route is narrower but real. Their defense allows 16.2 points and 255 yards per game, fourth nationally in total yards allowed. The Ducks scored only 15 points against the Bruins and 10 at Illinois in two of their three losses, so a low-scoring game with few possessions is the version in which the Wolverines stay close.

Wolverines vs Ducks win probabilities

• Wolverines win: 22%
• Ducks win: 86%

These percentages reflect the market's expectations, not guaranteed outcomes. Prediction market prices reflect implied probabilities, and they can change as traders react to new information such as a quarterback announcement.

How could Wolverines vs Ducks unfold?

The Ducks' path runs through early separation. Raiola has 1,354 passing yards and 11 touchdowns this season, and receiver Dakorien Moore leads the team with 601 receiving yards and seven touchdowns, including seven catches for 128 yards against the Wildcats. If the Ducks' offense scores early, the Wolverines must pass more than they want to.

The Wolverines' best version looks like their wins over the Nittany Lions and the Scarlet Knights. In those games they rushed for 211 and 161 yards, then managed only 57 yards against the Hoosiers and 54 against the Spartans. The Ducks allowed 225 rushing yards at Illinois and 175 to the Wildcats, so a Wolverines run game that works could shorten the game and keep the margin small.

Close finishes are common for both teams. Four of the Wolverines' last five games and three of the Ducks' last five were decided by eight points or fewer. The Ducks' own vulnerability is ball security. ESPN's box score credits them with seven turnovers in their 15-17 loss to the Bruins, and a repeat would hand the Wolverines extra possessions.

What is the latest team news?

Both teams have lost key people in the past week, and the Big Ten's availability reports for the game arrive during game week. The Wolverines' changes affect the offense, while the Ducks' loss is on defense.

What is the latest on the Wolverines?

Coach Kyle Whittingham fired Beck on Nov. 8 and promoted offensive line coach Jim Harding to interim offensive coordinator for the final three games. Whittingham said Harding does not have extensive play-calling experience, and no one else on the offensive staff does either.

The quarterback job is open again. Whittingham named freshman Tommy Carr the starter for the foreseeable future on Nov. 2, but on Monday he said the starter against the Ducks is to be determined. Sophomore Bryce Underwood, who has 924 passing yards, five touchdowns and six interceptions this season, is back in the mix.

Offensive lineman Blake Frazier left the Spartans game with an injury and is doubtful, Whittingham said.

What is the latest on the Ducks?

Outside linebacker Teitum Tuioti is out for the season with a knee injury suffered in the fourth quarter at Ohio State, coach Dan Lanning said Monday. Tuioti threw the 30-yard fake punt pass to Matayo Uiagalelei that set up a touchdown before halftime. Uiagalelei leads the team with 7.5 sacks.

Quarterback Dante Moore will not play again this season after the concussion he suffered at USC on Sept. 26, Lanning said on Oct. 26. Raiola has started the last three games, and Jay Johnson has called the offense since Lanning relieved Drew Mehringer of play-calling duties on Oct. 25.

What could decide Wolverines vs Ducks?

Three matchups give the clearest read on how the game could swing.

Who wins the turnover battle?

The Spartans forced four turnovers against the Wolverines, including a fourth-quarter interception and a fourth-quarter fumble. Giveaways have defined the Wolverines' season, with two or more in four of their last five games. The Ducks' defense ranks tied for 15th in interceptions, so extra mistakes would be costly.

Can the Wolverines protect their quarterback?

The Spartans sacked the Wolverines five times, and the Wolverines have been sacked 19 times in nine games. With Frazier doubtful, the Ducks' pass rush faces a patched line, but the loss of Tuioti removes one of the players who produced pressure for the Ducks' defense. Uiagalelei, who had 1.5 sacks at Ohio State, becomes the primary threat.

Does a new play-caller change the Wolverines' offense?

Harding's first game as play-caller comes against a defense that has allowed 22.1 points per game. The Ducks offer a template for what a change can do: they scored 34 and 41 points in the two games after Johnson took over, compared with 10 at Illinois the week before. Lanning said the Wolverines' defense is probably as good as any the Ducks have faced this season.

What does the Wolverines vs Ducks head-to-head history show?

The series is tied 3-3, and the Ducks have won the last three meetings, including a 38-17 win on Nov. 2, 2024, in Ann Arbor. In that game the Ducks gained 470 yards and held the Wolverines to 270. The Wolverines are 0-1 at Autzen Stadium, where they lost 31-27 in 2003.

The 2024 result offers limited guidance. Whittingham was not the Wolverines' coach then, and the Ducks have since lost Tuioti and Moore for this season.

What could move Wolverines vs Ducks market price?

The Wolverines' quarterback decision is the most direct driver. A start for Underwood or a confirmed start for Carr changes what the Ducks' defense must prepare for, and Harding's play-calling is untested.

Availability reports could also shift prices. Frazier's status affects the Wolverines' line, and any new Ducks absence would add to the loss of Tuioti. Traders who want control over the price they accept can use a limit order, and the wider slate of upcoming games sits in the daily sports prediction markets schedule.

For a broader view of how game markets work, the sports prediction markets guide covers contracts, pricing and settlement details.

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