Tennessee Volunteers at Texas A&M Aggies prediction and kickoff time (Nov. 14, 2026)
The Volunteers are favorites at 61% and the Aggies are at 48% on OG.com prediction markets. The Volunteers' run game meets a stingy Aggies red zone defense while the visitors replace sack leader Tyree Weathersby.
Football
By George Karmpoulonis

The Volunteers at Aggies game at Kyle Field on Saturday, November 14, 2026, puts the No. 9 team in the Associated Press Top 25 against an Aggies team that has lost five of its six Southeastern Conference (SEC) games. The Volunteers are 7-2 (4-2 SEC) after a 34-6 win over Kentucky, but that win cost them sack leader Tyree Weathersby to a season-ending knee injury.
The Aggies are 4-5 (1-5 SEC). They outgained South Carolina 457 yards to 360 last Saturday and still lost 17-9 after settling for three field goals. That gap between yards and points frames the game.
The Aggies need touchdowns, and the Volunteers need their run game to hold up against a defense that has held opponents to 11 touchdowns on 21 red zone trips.
This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
When is Volunteers vs Aggies?
- Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
- Kickoff: 3:00 p.m. ET
- Competition: College football
- Home team: Aggies
- Volunteers win: 61%
- Aggies win: 48%
What is the Volunteers vs Aggies prediction?
The Volunteers are favorites at 61%, with the Aggies at 48%, according to OG.com prediction markets. These percentages reflect the market's expectations, not guaranteed outcomes. Market data as of November 10, 2026. For the latest market probabilities, check the OG.com platform.
The Volunteers' case starts with a run game that averages 216 yards, 11th nationally, led by DeSean Bishop (1,066 yards and 13 touchdowns). Their defense allows 15.1 points a game, tied for 10th nationally. Those strengths protect a passing offense that averages 178 yards, 120th nationally.
The Aggies' case rests on Kyle Field and a defense that finishes drives. They rank 19th nationally in opponent third-down conversion rate (31.5%) and have allowed points on 13 of 21 red zone trips. If their offense turns yardage into touchdowns, the home side stays within reach.
Weathersby's absence is the development most likely to narrow the gap. He had seven of the Volunteers' 39 sacks, the most in the country, and Aggies quarterback Marcel Reed has thrown eight interceptions on 265 attempts. Coach Josh Heupel named Mariyon Dye, who has five sacks, and Jordan Norman as the players he trusts to fill the role.
Volunteers vs Aggies win probabilities
- Volunteers win: 61%
- Aggies win: 48%
That puts the Volunteers 13 percentage points ahead. Prices in sports prediction markets reflect implied probabilities, and Saturday's team news can move them before kickoff. Check the contract terms for how the winner market settles.
How could Volunteers vs Aggies unfold?
The Volunteers' run game and the Aggies' red zone defense set up the central contest, and each side has a clear script.
The Volunteers' cleanest script starts with Bishop and Daune Morris. Against Kentucky, Morris broke a 66-yard touchdown run in the first quarter, Bishop added 109 yards and two touchdowns, and the offense ran for 240 yards. The Volunteers have not allowed more than 186 rushing yards in any of their last five games, so an early lead would push Reed into passing situations against a front with 39 sacks.
The Aggies' best version of this game looks like their defensive work at South Carolina, where they limited the Gamecocks to 109 rushing yards and 17 points. Heupel called the Aggies "good against the run" and "big, physical" on Monday. The line has been uneven, though: Missouri ran for 247 yards against the Aggies on October 10.
If the game stays close into the fourth quarter, quarterback play becomes the swing. George MacIntyre has completed 66.7% of his passes (78 of 117) for 853 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. Reed has completed 57.0% (151 of 265) for 1,641 yards, eight touchdowns and eight interceptions.
What is the latest team news?
Injuries have thinned the Volunteers' edge rush and the Aggies' receiver group, the two spots that most affect the plan above.
What is the latest on the Volunteers?
Weathersby is out for the season with a knee injury, and Heupel called it a "huge bump in the road" on Monday. Heupel said he has great trust in Dye and Norman. Freshman Hezekiah Harris played snaps against Kentucky after Weathersby left the game. Eight Volunteers are out for the season in total, including offensive lineman Wendell Moe Jr. and tight end Ethan Davis.
Heupel has not publicly named a starting quarterback for Saturday. MacIntyre has been the primary starter since replacing Faizon Brandon midway through the October 3 win over Auburn. Brandon played situational snaps against Kentucky, including a 24-yard touchdown pass to Mike Matthews.
What is the latest on the Aggies?
Receiver depth is the concern. Terry Bussey and Kelshaun Johnson are out for the season, and Ashton Bethel-Roman was ruled out for the South Carolina game. Coach Mike Elko said Mario Craver, Bethel-Roman and Bussey were unavailable in the fourth quarter there, and Craver's status for Saturday has not been announced. Offensive lineman Blake Ivy is also out for the season.
Running back KJ Edwards, listed as questionable before the South Carolina game, played and carried 10 times for 37 yards. Elko said Reed went 25-for-43 with eight drops, which he called solid but not elite quarterback play.
What could decide Volunteers vs Aggies?
Three matchups sit underneath the larger script.
Can the Volunteers run through the Aggies' red zone defense?
The Volunteers average 216 rushing yards, but drives still have to finish. They convert 36.9% of third downs, while Aggies opponents convert 31.5%. With the Aggies allowing points on 13 of 21 red zone trips, a stalled Volunteers drive inside the 20 can end in a field goal.
Can the Aggies turn yardage into touchdowns?
At South Carolina, the Aggies gained 457 yards, converted nine of 19 third downs and scored only on field goals of 40, 46 and 44 yards by David Olano. The Volunteers allow 15.1 points a game and held Kentucky to two field goals on two red zone trips. Olano is 16 of 17 on field goals this season, which gives the Aggies a dependable scoring option when drives stall.
Who wins the pressure and turnover battle?
The Volunteers have 39 sacks and nine interceptions, while the Aggies have thrown nine interceptions, tied for 113th nationally. The Aggies' own pass rush has nine sacks, 133rd nationally, which gives MacIntyre a better chance to settle in and hit the shots Heupel said the Volunteers missed against Kentucky. Without Weathersby, pressure has to come from Dye, Norman and linebacker Arion Carter, who had two sacks against Kentucky.
What does the Volunteers vs Aggies head-to-head history show?
The series offers limited guidance because the teams have met only five times.
The Volunteers lead 3-2 and won the last meeting 20-13 at Neyland Stadium on October 14, 2023. The only previous game at Kyle Field went to the Aggies, 45-38 in double overtime, on October 8, 2016. Every meeting has included at least one ranked team, and the higher-ranked side has won the last four. The Volunteers are ranked this time and the Aggies are not.
Kyle Field will also stage "Operation Blackout" for the third time under Elko. The Aggies won the previous two, beating No. 8 LSU 38-23 in 2024 and Mississippi State 31-9 in 2025.
What could move Volunteers vs Aggies market price?
Pending team news can shift the percentages before kickoff. A decision between MacIntyre and Brandon at quarterback would change the Volunteers' passing profile, and Craver's availability would show how much the Aggies can stretch the field with Bussey and Johnson out for the season.
Traders who want control over the price they pay can place a limit order, which sets the price they are willing to accept. Fans tracking the rest of Saturday's slate can find the other upcoming games in OG.com's daily sports prediction markets listings.
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