Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers prediction: Cousins returns to Lambeau Field on Nov. 15, 2026

The Vikings at Packers game on Sunday brings two NFC North teams into Week 10 with different problems. The Vikings (6-2) have lost two straight after a 6-0 start. They reacquired quarterback Kirk Cousins from the Raiders on Tuesday to lift an offense that ranks 27th in scoring at 18.2 points per game.

The Packers (6-3) arrive off a 45-27 win at the Patriots in which Jordan Love threw for 372 yards, but running back Josh Jacobs needs finger surgery. The Packers' league-low 68 rushing yards per game gives the Vikings' defense, which allows an NFL-best 14.5 points per game, a clear target.

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When is Vikings vs Packers?

• Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
• Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
• Competition: NFL, Week 10
• Home team: Packers
• Vikings win: 39%
• Packers win: 63%

What is the Vikings vs Packers prediction?

The Packers are favorites at 63%, with the Vikings at 39%, according to OG.com prediction markets. Market data as of November 11, 2026. For the latest market probabilities, check the OG.com platform.

The Packers' case starts with a passing offense that ranks second in the NFL at 280 yards per game. Love has 19 touchdown passes against six interceptions, and the Vikings lead the league in sacks (29, tied for first), so the Packers' protection faces a real test.

The Vikings' route to an upset runs through Cousins. They rank 31st in passing yards per game (161) and 30th in third-down conversion rate (33.3%). Cousins knows Kevin O'Connell's offense and has history with Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, T.J. Hockenson and most of the starting offensive line, according to the team.

The unknown is preparation time. Cousins joined the Vikings five days before kickoff, and the team has not announced a starter, though Field Level Media reported he could start. A sharper passing game would pair with a defense that already keeps games close.

Vikings vs Packers win probabilities

• Vikings win: 39%
• Packers win: 63%

The Packers have won four of their last five games, with the one loss a 17-20 defeat at the Lions. The Vikings are at 39% after two straight losses in which the offense scored 15 and 6 points. These percentages reflect the market's expectations, not guaranteed outcomes, and prices can change as traders react to new information. Prediction market prices show implied probabilities for each side.

How could Vikings vs Packers unfold?

A Packers lead would test the Vikings' offense first, because trailing puts the ball in the hands of a quarterback who joined the team this week. A close game keeps the Vikings' ground attack and defense in play.

If the Packers score early, Love's receivers have the production to extend it. Christian Watson had seven catches for 171 yards and Matthew Golden had 10 for 164 against the Patriots, and Watson leads the team with 879 receiving yards. They face a Vikings defense that allows 161 passing yards per game, second-fewest in the NFL.

If the Vikings keep it close, Aaron Jones Sr. (474 rushing yards) and Jordan Mason carry the ground game. The Packers allow 109 rushing yards per game, so the Vikings can use the run to shorten the game and lean on a defense that allows 14.5 points per game.

The scoring trends point in different directions. The Vikings scored 15 and 6 points in their last two games, while the Packers scored at least 17 in each of their last five.

What is the latest team news?

Both teams carry unresolved decisions into the weekend, led by the quarterback spot for the Vikings and the backfield for the Packers.

What is the latest on the Vikings?

The trade for Cousins, who is 38, is pending a physical, according to the team. He started all nine games for the Raiders, and his last outing there included three interceptions in a 38-17 loss to the 49ers.

Kyler Murray is listed as doubtful with a Grade 2 hamstring strain. Carson Wentz went 8-of-25 for 81 yards with two interceptions in the loss to the Bills and was replaced late by Max Brosmer.

Wide receiver Jauan Jennings (calf), defensive end Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins (ankle) and safety Theo Jackson (quadriceps) are listed as questionable. Running back Demond Claiborne is on injured reserve with a knee injury.

What is the latest on the Packers?

Jacobs needs surgery on a fractured finger, and coach Matt LaFleur said the Packers have not ruled out injured reserve, which would mean at least four games. Kaleb Johnson ran 14 times for 68 yards and a touchdown against the Patriots, and LaFleur said there is a good chance Chris Brooks returns from injured reserve this week.

MarShawn Lloyd (knee), who missed the Patriots game, is questionable, along with tight end Josh Whyle (concussion), guard Sean Rhyan (ankle) and tackle Travis Glover (knee). Linebacker Zaire Franklin (shin fracture) is doubtful.

Edge rusher Micah Parsons is not expected for this game. The Packers' plan to use his full 21-day practice window points to a Nov. 25 return against the Rams, NFL.com reported.

What could decide Vikings vs Packers?

Three matchups carry the most weight, and each starts with the quarterbacks.

Can Cousins protect the ball against the Packers' secondary?

The Packers have 19 takeaways, second in the NFL, including 13 interceptions. Xavier McKinney had two interceptions against the Bears and two more against the Patriots.

Cousins threw 20 touchdowns and eight interceptions for the Raiders, but his final game there included three. The Vikings' own plus-5 turnover margin shows their defense also wins the ball back, so a Cousins interception hands the Packers a short field.

Can the Packers run enough without Jacobs?

The Packers rank last in the NFL in rushing yards per game (68). Johnson has 172 yards on 42 carries this season (4.1 per carry), and Jacobs averaged 2.2 yards per carry in three games since returning from the commissioner's exempt list.

The Vikings allowed 230 rushing yards to the Lions on Nov. 1, which shows their run defense can be stretched. A productive ground game from Johnson would also reduce how often Love faces a Vikings pass rush on obvious passing downs.

Can the Packers' line hold up against the Vikings' pass rush?

Andrew Van Ginkel has 7.5 sacks, and the Vikings have 29 as a team in eight games. The Packers have allowed 17 sacks in nine games, with Love sacked three times against the Patriots and not at all against the Panthers.

Rhyan and Glover are both questionable, so the inactive list shapes how much help the line needs. If either sits, the Packers must find a replacement against a rush that has produced 29 sacks.

What could move Vikings vs Packers prediction?

The Vikings' quarterback announcement carries the most weight. Confirmation that Cousins passes his physical and starts would answer the biggest question, while a surprise start for another passer would change how the Packers prepare.

Inactives are the next signal. Jennings' status shapes the Vikings' receiving depth behind Jefferson and Addison, and the Packers' backfield and line designations decide how much they lean on Love's arm. Traders who want price control while news develops can set a limit order at a chosen price.

Readers following the wider Sunday slate can find the day's NFL games among the daily sports prediction markets. Sports prediction markets settle under their own contract terms, so check how overtime and ties are handled before opening a position.

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