Phoenix Suns at Denver Nuggets prediction, team news and lineups on Nov. 16, 2026

The Suns at Nuggets game on Monday, November 16, pits a Nuggets offense still searching for its rhythm against a Suns team that has won four of five after a 1-5 start. The Nuggets are 6-4 and the Suns are 5-6, with all three of their road games lost.

Jamal Murray gives the Nuggets the louder case. He is shooting 51.3% from three this season, the best mark in the NBA among players with at least 75 attempts, and he scored 39 points when these teams met on October 30.

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

When is Suns at Nuggets?

• Date: Monday, November 16, 2026
• Tip-off: 9 p.m. ET / 7 p.m. MT
• Competition: NBA, 2026–27 regular season
• Home team: Nuggets
• Suns win: 38%
• Nuggets win: 72%

Both teams play before Monday. The Nuggets visit the Pelicans on Saturday night and the Suns host the Lakers on Sunday. For the wider schedule, check what basketball markets are available today.

What is the Suns at Nuggets prediction?

The Nuggets are favorites at 72%, with the Suns at 38%, according to OG.com prediction markets. Market data as of November 13, 2026. For the latest market probabilities, check the OG.com platform.

The Nuggets' case starts with shot creation. Murray has five 30-point games in 10 appearances, and Nikola Jokic had 27 points, 11 rebounds and eight assists in Wednesday's 123-118 win over the Grizzlies. The Nuggets' offense still has work to do, though.

DNVR Sports found the Nuggets scored 113.0 points per 100 possessions with Jokic on the floor through nine games, down from 126.1 last season. Better shooting from the supporting cast, including Cameron Johnson's 23 points against the Grizzlies, is the most direct fix.

The Suns have a real route. Devin Booker has averaged 26.6 points over their last five games, and the Suns made 73 of 180 threes (40.6%) in that stretch. If Booker keeps scoring and the Suns keep the Nuggets from scoring in bunches, they can stay close.

The Suns' path narrows if the Nuggets protect the ball and rebound well. A cold night from three would make that harder still, because the Suns have little margin on the glass.

Suns at Nuggets win probabilities

• Suns win: 38%
• Nuggets win: 72%

The Nuggets lead by 34 percentage points in the market. These percentages are implied probabilities for a full game winner market, and prices can change as traders react to new information. Check the contract terms to see how overtime is handled.

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How could Suns at Nuggets unfold?

The central question is whether the Suns' possession edge can survive the Nuggets' shot-making. Murray and Jokic carry the offense, and Murray shot 7 of 9 from three in the last meeting.

Coach David Adelman told his players he wants them taking open looks even when they miss. The Nuggets took 38 threes and made 14 against the Grizzlies, so the volume is arriving.

The Suns answer with Booker's scoring and a deeper guard group. Jordan Goodwin scored 18 points on six threes in his return from a calf injury, and Luke Kennard and Collin Gillespie have both reached double figures off the bench in the last week.

The Suns must also defend without Mark Williams, who is out after shoulder surgery. That leaves Oso Ighodaro and Khaman Maluach to handle the middle against Jokic, which makes interior help and rebounding the Suns' pressure points.

What is the latest team news?

Neither team has a starter on its injury list, but statuses can change before Monday as both sides play again this weekend.

What is the latest on the Suns?

Williams is out after shoulder surgery to repair a torn labrum and is expected to miss the next few months, according to Sports Illustrated's Suns coverage. No other Suns player is listed as out.

Goodwin returned against the Clippers after missing time with a calf injury. Booker had 30 points, seven assists and three steals in Thursday's 101-96 win over the Hornets.

What is the latest on the Nuggets?

Julian Strawther is out with a left knee sprain, and ESPN lists his return at November 29. He has been out since mid-October.

Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon, Cameron Johnson, Christian Braun and DeMar DeRozan were all questionable ahead of the November 9 game against the Rockets after a delayed flight out of Mexico City. All six played, and none is on the current injury list.

What are the projected starting lineups?

Both coaches have kept their starting groups stable, so these projections follow the lineups used in each team's last five games.

How could the Suns line up?

Projected starting five:

• Devin Booker
• Jalen Green
• Dillon Brooks
• Miles Bridges
• Oso Ighodaro

This projection assumes all five are available. Goodwin, Gillespie and Kennard have all played off the bench recently, and Maluach is the center option behind Ighodaro.

How could the Nuggets line up?

Projected starting five:

• Jamal Murray
• Christian Braun
• Cameron Johnson
• Aaron Gordon
• Nikola Jokic

This projection assumes all five are available. DeRozan, described on the team's website as its sixth man, leads a bench that local columnists have questioned.

What could decide Suns at Nuggets?

Three questions look most likely to shape the game, and each draws on the last five games for both teams.

Can the Suns keep winning the possession battle?

Opponents committed 90 turnovers against the Suns' 65 over those five games. That edge has not produced transition points, though, because opponents still outscored the Suns on the fast break 91-57.

The Nuggets are a harder test. They have committed 50 turnovers in five games, an average of 10, and had fewer than their opponent in four of the five.

Can the Suns hold up inside without Mark Williams?

The Suns have been out-rebounded 237-191 over their last five games and allowed 232 points in the paint. Their own paint scoring totaled 214.

The Nuggets scored 268 points in the paint over their last five, an average of 53.6. Jokic's 11 rebounds and eight assists at Memphis show how many ways he can use that interior space.

Will the Nuggets' three-point shooting regress?

The Nuggets made 20 of 38 threes against the Suns on October 30. Over their last five games, the Nuggets made 50 of 151 (33.1%), while opponents made 63 of 186 against the Suns (33.9%).

A return to those averages leaves the game on Booker's scoring and the Suns' bench scoring. A repeat of October 30 would test the Suns' defense again.

What does the Suns at Nuggets head-to-head history show?

The Nuggets won 127-120 on the road against the Suns on October 30, a game that counted in both the NBA Cup group stage and the regular-season standings. Murray scored 39 with seven threes, and Braun also made seven.

The Suns made 18 of 42 threes (42.9%) and cut a late deficit to six. Booker had 20 points on 7-of-19 shooting, and Miles Bridges added 24 points and 10 rebounds.

Dillon Brooks scored 22 points before a Flagrant 2 ejection in the third quarter with the Nuggets up 84-76. The rosters and coaches are the same, but the shooting split and the ejection make that result a limited guide.

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