Real Racing Club vs Real Sociedad prediction, team news and lineups on Nov. 22, 2026

Racing vs Real Sociedad on Sunday, Nov. 22, pairs the 10th-place home side with a visitor in fifth place. Real Sociedad have 22 points from 12 La Liga games to Racing's 14, but a goal difference of +1 shows how tight many of their games have been.

Racing arrive after a 2-1 win at Málaga on November 7, their first away points of the season, with Zabiri scoring his ninth league goal.

They have lost right back Álvaro Mantilla for the season to a torn anterior cruciate ligament, so the right side of their defense will look different.

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

When is Racing vs Real Sociedad?

• Date: Sunday, November 22, 2026
• Kickoff: 4:15 p.m. CET / 10:15 a.m. ET
• Competition: La Liga
• Racing win: 32%
• Draw: 24%
• Real Sociedad win: 47%

What is the Racing vs Real Sociedad prediction?

Real Sociedad are favorites at 47%, with Racing at 32% and the draw at 24%. These implied probabilities come from OG.com prediction markets and can change as traders react to new information.

Market data as of November 10, 2026. For the latest market probabilities, check the OG.com platform.

Real Sociedad's case rests on form and depth. They have won four of their last five league games and scored 12 goals in them, spread across eight different scorers. Racing have won two of their last five and been outscored 9-6 over the same stretch.

Racing's route runs through Zabiri at home. He scored three of the team's six league goals in those five games, and Real Sociedad conceded in four of their last five league matches. Racing also out-shot Málaga 21-16 in their win.

Availability could change the reading. Center back Mamadou Sarr missed the Rayo Vallecano game with a soleus injury, winger Ander Barrenetxea is awaiting a scan after leaving that match hurt, and Mikel Oyarzabal has been ill. Real Sociedad's depth gets tested if those players are not back by November 22.

The question most likely to decide the game is whether Racing's rebuilt right side can stop Real Sociedad's wide attackers from getting in behind.

Racing vs Real Sociedad win probabilities

• Real Sociedad win – 47%
• Draw – 24%
• Racing win – 32%

Real Sociedad get the lean because their form and table position are stronger, yet Racing keep a live chance at El Sardinero. Soccer sports prediction markets price the draw as its own outcome, and ties have been uncommon for both clubs: Racing and Real Sociedad have drawn only three of their 24 combined league games this season.

What is the latest Racing team news?

Racing play a 4-2-3-1 under José Alberto and used the same shape in the win at Málaga. Mantilla is out for the season after tearing his anterior cruciate ligament against Real Madrid, and he is due to have surgery.

Right winger Andrés Martín has a hamstring injury that the club confirmed on November 3. He stayed home from the Málaga trip, and local coverage expects him back before the end of the year.

Those two absences pushed Pablo Ramón to right back, with Íñigo Sainz-Maza replacing him late at Málaga. Left back Jorge Salinas is the one doubt. He served a one-match ban before the Málaga game, and availability trackers list him as suspended again, though Racing have not announced a new ban.

In midfield, Iván Martín was withdrawn at halftime at Málaga and Pablo García changed the game from the bench. That gives José Alberto a real selection choice beside Matteo Prati.

What is the latest Real Sociedad team news?

Real Sociedad used a 4-2-3-1 in a 1-0 win over Rayo Vallecano on November 8, three days after a 1-1 Europa League draw with Lyon.

Sarr left the Lyon game at halftime and missed Rayo with a soleus injury. Igor Zubeldia took his place and has started two games in a row, which Matarazzo called a very high level of play.

Barrenetxea limped off in the 71st minute against Rayo after setting up Orri Óskarsson's winner, and Matarazzo said the club needs an MRI scan to learn how serious the injury is. Oyarzabal missed that game with tonsillitis and back problems, and Matarazzo had no update on his condition.

Left back Aihen Muñoz also came off injured in the 84th minute, with Sergio Gómez replacing him. The projected lineup uses Gómez at left back and Gonçalo Guedes on the left wing, covering for those two absences.

How could Racing line up?

Racing are likely to line up in a 4-2-3-1, assuming Jorge Salinas is available:

• Goalkeeper: Julen Agirrezabala
• Right back: Pablo Ramón
• Right center back: Pedro Felipe
• Left center back: Jeanuël Belocian
• Left back: Jorge Salinas
• Right center midfield: Iván Martín
• Left center midfield: Matteo Prati
• No. 10: Sergio Canales
• Right wing: Iker Luque
• Left wing: Iñigo Vicente
• Striker: Yassir Zabiri

How could Real Sociedad line up?

Real Sociedad are likely to line up in a 4-2-3-1:

• Goalkeeper: Álex Remiro
• Right back: Jon Aramburu
• Right center back: Jon Martín
• Left center back: Igor Zubeldia
• Left back: Sergio Gómez
• Right center midfield: Beñat Turrientes
• Left center midfield: Carlos Soler
• No. 10: Luka Sucic
• Right wing: Takefusa Kubo
• Left wing: Gonçalo Guedes
• Striker: Orri Óskarsson
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What could decide Racing vs Real Sociedad?

Four questions shape the game, starting with the flank where Racing have the most repair work to do.

Can Racing's rebuilt right side handle Real Sociedad's wide attackers?

With Mantilla out and Andrés Martín injured, Racing's right flank has changed in both defense and attack. AS rated Ramón's display at Málaga well and credited him with the pass for Iker Luque's goal, but the Racing-focused site Racinguismo has questioned his pace when defending.

Takefusa Kubo and the left-winger Real Sociedad choose will test that flank directly. If Barrenetxea misses out, the visitors lose their quickest runner on that side.

Can Real Sociedad's back line cope without Mamadou Sarr?

Zubeldia and Jon Martín form the likely pairing, and Real Sociedad conceded seven goals in their last five league games, including at least one in four of them. Racing have 83 shots and 29 on target in the same span, so the pairing will face regular work.

Does Racing's chance creation turn into goals?

Racing out-shot their opponent in three of their last five league games and won two of them, drawing 2-2 with Valencia despite a 20-10 shot count. In the two games where Racing were out-shot, they lost 0-2 at Osasuna and 0-3 to Real Madrid, with one shot on target in each.

Real Sociedad out-shot their opponent in four of their last five, so Racing need to compete for shot volume as well as finish. Zabiri has nine league goals, and he scored in three of those five games.

How much will Real Sociedad's workload affect them?

Matarazzo said his team lost some energy late against Rayo after eight matches in four weeks, even with seven changes to the starting lineup. Two weeks without a league game give him time to rest players, but the injury list leaves fewer fresh options at center back, left back and on the wing.

What does the Racing vs Real Sociedad head-to-head history show?

Racing and Real Sociedad have not met in La Liga since April 28, 2012, when Real Sociedad won 3-0 at Anoeta. Their last league meeting at El Sardinero finished 0-0 on December 18, 2011, and Racing's most recent home league win in the series was 2-1 on March 20, 2011.

Real Sociedad have won only ten of their 39 La Liga visits to Racing, with 11 draws and 18 defeats, according to worldfootball.net. The clubs drew 1-1 in a friendly on July 18, 2026, when Óskarsson scored for Real Sociedad and Racing equalized in the 82nd minute.

What could move Racing vs Real Sociedad prediction before kickoff?

Several developments could change the picture before kickoff:

• Real Sociedad injuries: Sarr's soleus injury, Barrenetxea's scan, Oyarzabal's illness and Aihen's knock all decide how many regulars Matarazzo can pick.
• Racing's right and left sides: Andrés Martín's recovery would change how Racing attack on the right, and a confirmed Salinas suspension would move a backup into left back.
• Confirmed lineups: Starting lineups are usually announced about an hour before kickoff, and prices for this game and the other fixtures on the daily sports prediction markets schedule can move at that point.

Because prices can change when team news lands, some traders use limit orders to set the price they are willing to accept.

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