Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans prediction, team news and lineups on Nov. 14, 2026

The Nuggets visit the Pelicans on Saturday, Nov. 14, in an NBA regular season game between a Denver team at 6-4 and a New Orleans team at 4-8. Denver has already beaten New Orleans twice this season, rallying from 23 points down in a 141-135 overtime win on Oct. 24 and then winning 104-91 in New Orleans on Oct. 28.

The Pelicans arrive on a four-game losing streak that includes a franchise-record 51-point loss at Golden State and a 145-111 defeat to Brooklyn on Wednesday. Denver comes off a 123-118 win at Memphis, where Jamal Murray scored 17 of his 30 points in the fourth quarter.

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

When is Nuggets at Pelicans?

• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Tip-off: 7 p.m. ET / 6 p.m. CT
• Competition: NBA, 2026–27 regular season
• Home team: Pelicans
• Nuggets win: 80%
• Pelicans win: 21%

The Pelicans host the Grizzlies on Friday, Nov. 13, in the NBA Cup, which makes Saturday the second night of a back-to-back for them. Other games on the same day sit in the daily sports prediction markets schedule.

What is the Nuggets at Pelicans prediction?

Prediction market prices make the Nuggets favorites at 80%, with the Pelicans at 21%. Market data as of November 12, 2026. For the latest market probabilities, check the OG.com platform.

These implied probabilities reflect the market's expectations, not guaranteed outcomes. In sports prediction markets, prices can change as traders react to new information such as injury news. The first meeting between these teams went to overtime, so traders can check the contract terms to see how overtime is handled.

Denver's case starts with its two best players meeting a defense in freefall. New Orleans has allowed at least 138 points in three straight games and 130 per game across its last five. Jamal Murray is averaging 25.8 points this season while shooting 50.0% from three, and Jokic had a triple-double in the Oct. 28 win with 21 points, 13 rebounds and 10 assists.

The Pelicans' route to an upset runs through the start. They led by as many as 23 in Denver on Oct. 24 and scored 135, and Zion Williamson is averaging 21 points this season. A fast opening, followed by enough stops to protect it, is the version of this game where the 21% price looks realistic.

Denver has an answer to that plan. It has turned the ball over 50 times in its last five games while forcing 65 from opponents, which limits the extra possessions that feed New Orleans in transition.

Nuggets at Pelicans win probabilities

• Nuggets win: 80%
• Pelicans win: 21%

The two prices add up to 101%. Denver's price sits alongside a 2-0 season series and a Pelicans rotation missing four players, though Saturday's availability can still change the outlook.

How could Nuggets at Pelicans unfold?

Denver can start from a half-court edge. Jokic works as the hub, and the Nuggets made 14 of 38 threes at Memphis on 34 assists. New Orleans has been hurt by passing and cutting lately: Golden State scored easy baskets off backcuts and ball movement on Nov. 9, and Brooklyn made 20 of 41 threes with nine different players connecting on Wednesday.

The Pelicans' best stretch comes when they run. They have outscored opponents 83-60 on fast breaks across their last five games and scored 30 fast break points against Minnesota on Nov. 6. Williamson's rim pressure then forces Denver to choose between helping and staying home on shooters.

Denver held New Orleans to 18 fourth-quarter points on Oct. 24 and led 37-18 after one quarter on Oct. 28, while the Pelicans' last two losses came by 51 and 34 points. If New Orleans cannot hold an early lead, Jamal Murray's late scoring gives Denver the steadier closing option.

What is the latest team news?

Denver enters with one player out, while New Orleans is missing four rotation players, including its starting wing.

What is the latest on the Nuggets?

Julian Strawther is the only Nuggets player on the NBA's Nov. 11 injury report. He is out with a left knee sprain and has not played this season after the team ruled him out for six weeks on Oct. 16.

Jokic finished with 27 points, 11 rebounds and eight assists at Memphis, and Cameron Johnson added 23 points, including the three-pointer that put Denver ahead 120-113 late. Denver has not announced Saturday's availability.

What is the latest on the Pelicans?

Trey Murphy III missed Wednesday's game with bilateral patellar tendinopathy after the team moved him from probable to doubtful. Bennedict Mathurin (right thumb sprain), Trendon Watford (right ankle sprain) and Yves Missi (left knee bone bruise) were also out on the NBA's Nov. 11 report.

Williamson scored 29 points against Brooklyn and called the result "unacceptable." He said players and coaches had to look in the mirror. Each player, he said, should ask whether he was in the gaps and was the low man when he was supposed to be. The Pelicans have not announced Saturday's availability.

What are the projected starting lineups?

Denver has used one starting group for every game in its last five, while New Orleans has shuffled its front line around injuries.

How could the Nuggets line up?

Projected starting five:

• Jamal Murray
• Christian Braun
• Cameron Johnson
• Aaron Gordon
• Nikola Jokic

This projection assumes all five are available, as they were against Memphis. If one is ruled out, no replacement has been announced, and DeMar DeRozan, Spencer Jones, Trevon Brazile and Marvin Bagley III are the main reserves.

How could the Pelicans line up?

Projected starting five:

• Dejounte Murray
• Jeremiah Fears
• Herbert Jones
• Zion Williamson
• Karlo Matkovic

This projection assumes Murphy is out again. When Murphy was healthy on Nov. 6 and Nov. 8, he started in Jones's spot, so he is the likely change if he returns. Saddiq Bey and Derik Queen are the key reserves.

What could decide Nuggets at Pelicans?

Three areas look most likely to separate the teams: how the Pelicans defend ball movement, who controls transition, and the rebounding gap.

Can the Pelicans defend the Nuggets' ball movement?

Denver had 34 assists at Memphis and 142 across its last five games. New Orleans has allowed at least 138 points in three straight games, and Williamson's own questions about the gaps and the low man point to breakdowns in help defense. A passing offense built around Jokic gets open looks from those breakdowns.

Will Denver limit New Orleans in transition?

New Orleans scored 23 fast break points to Denver's 12 on Oct. 24, but Denver turned the ball over just six times at Memphis and five times at Indiana. Fewer live-ball turnovers mean fewer open-court chances for the Pelicans. If Denver keeps its turnover count low, the Pelicans have to score against a set defense.

Who wins the rebounding battle?

New Orleans has been outrebounded in each of its last five games, 183-226 in total, an average gap of 8.6 per game. Denver has trailed by 3.6 per game over its last five (200-218). With Missi still out, the Pelicans' margin for error on the boards is thin.

What does the Nuggets at Pelicans head-to-head history show?

Denver won both meetings this season. Jamal Murray scored 42 points and Jokic added a 35-point triple-double in the overtime win on Oct. 24, and Jokic had 21 points, 13 rebounds and 10 assists in the 104-91 win on Oct. 28, when the Pelicans made 7 of 30 threes.

Those games transfer only in part. Denver played both without Johnson, who started all five of its latest games, and New Orleans had Murphy for the first game, when he scored 26 points. Williamson played in both, scoring 17 and 25 points.

What could move Nuggets at Pelicans prediction?

Williamson's status is the main pending decision. The Pelicans listed him as resting on the second night of their Nov. 8-9 back-to-back, and Saturday is the second night of another. New Orleans has not said whether he will play.

Murphy's knee is the other open question, since he is the Pelicans' starting wing. Lineup news can move prices quickly, so a limit order lets a trader set the price at which an order fills.

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