New York Knicks at Toronto Raptors prediction, team news and lineups on Nov. 15, 2026

The Knicks at Raptors game on Sunday, Nov. 15, is the first of two straight games in Toronto. The Knicks are 6-5 and have outrebounded their last five opponents by 58, while the Raptors are 5-6 and have been without Scottie Barnes and Kawhi Leonard.

Both teams lost on Wednesday, Nov. 11. The Knicks fell 115-107 to the Cavaliers, ending a four-game winning streak, and the Raptors lost 98-93 to the Celtics after leading by 22 points.

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

When is Knicks at Raptors?

• Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
• Tip-off: 6 p.m. ET
• Competition: NBA, 2026–27 regular season
• Home team: Raptors
• Knicks win: 69%
• Raptors win: 42%

The rematch follows on Tuesday, Nov. 17, also in Toronto, and each day's NBA games appear among the daily sports prediction markets.

What is the Knicks at Raptors prediction?

Early market prices show the Knicks at 69% and the Raptors at 42%, and trading has not yet separated the two sides. Market data as of November 12, 2026. For the latest market probabilities, check the OG.com platform.

The strongest case belongs to the Knicks. They won four of their last five games and outscored opponents by 15.8 points per game. The one loss came by eight to a Cavaliers team that hit a go-ahead three-pointer with 4:21 left. The Raptors went 2-3 over the same stretch and were outscored by 3.8 points per game, with Barnes out for three of those games.

The Raptors' route runs through early shooting. They made 10 of 18 threes in the first quarter against the Celtics, tying a franchise record for a quarter, then went 6 of 25 the rest of the way and lost the lead. A repeat of that first quarter would test a Knicks defense that allowed Cleveland to make 15 of 38 threes on Nov. 11.

Knicks at Raptors win probabilities

• Knicks win: 69%
• Raptors win: 42%

The two percentages add up to 111%, which is more than the two outcomes of one game can hold. These percentages reflect the market's expectations, not guaranteed outcomes. Implied probabilities can move as traders in a sports prediction market react to news such as the Barnes and Immanuel Quickley updates. Traders can use limit orders to set the price they are willing to accept.

How could Knicks at Raptors unfold?

The game turns on whether the Knicks can turn their size and shot creation into points in the paint against a Raptors defense that has swung between extremes. The Raptors allowed 76 paint points to the Nuggets on Nov. 4 and 20 to the Celtics on Nov. 11, an average of 48.8 across their last five games.

Jalen Brunson gives the Knicks the steadier source of offense. He has scored between 19 and 33 points in each of the last five games, averaging 26.6, and Karl-Anthony Towns scored 17, 29, 21 and 21 in the last four.

The Raptors' counter is transition. They scored 18 fast-break points against the Celtics, their highest total in the last five games, while the Knicks have allowed 13 to 15 fast-break points in each of their last three. Running is the clearest way for the Raptors to score without beating the Knicks' half-court defense.

What is the latest team news?

Josh Hart's return gives the Knicks a rotation question, and the Raptors are still working around injuries to their top forwards.

What is the latest on the Knicks?

Josh Hart returned on Nov. 11 after missing three games with an ankle injury and then an illness. He played 26 minutes against the Cavaliers and scored six points. ESPN's injury feed lists no Knicks players for Nov. 15.

The Knicks visit the Pacers on Friday, Nov. 13, before traveling to Toronto.

What is the latest on the Raptors?

Scottie Barnes (left groin strain) has missed three straight games, and Leonard (left knee) has missed nine in a row. The Raptors said on Nov. 10 that Leonard would be updated in a week, and Sportsnet's Michael Grange has speculated that Nov. 27 could be a return date.

Quickley returned on Nov. 11 from a two-game absence with a right hamstring issue and played 28 minutes. Nate Bittle is out with a foot injury, and Trayce Jackson-Davis is day-to-day with an illness.

What are the projected starting lineups?

Neither team has announced starters for Sunday, so both projections follow the five that started each team's latest game.

How could the Knicks line up?

Projected starting five:

• Jalen Brunson
• Mikal Bridges
• Josh Hart
• OG Anunoby
• Karl-Anthony Towns

This projection assumes Hart is available. Landry Shamet, who started the three games Hart missed, is the likely alternative if he is ruled out. Miles McBride scored 19 points in 27 minutes off the bench against the Cavaliers and gives the second unit a scoring guard.

How could the Raptors line up?

Projected starting five:

• Immanuel Quickley
• Ja'Kobe Walter
• RJ Barrett
• Collin Murray-Boyles
• Jakob Poeltl

This projection assumes Quickley is available and Barnes remains out. Jamal Shead, who started when Quickley missed games against the Bucks and Grizzlies, is the likely alternative at point guard. A Barnes return would change the frontcourt.

What could decide Knicks at Raptors?

Three questions will shape a game with this much roster uncertainty on the Raptors' side.

Can the Knicks win the rebounding battle again?

The Knicks outrebounded opponents 242-184 over their last five games, a gap of 11.6 per game, and lost the count only to the Cavaliers, 40-34. The Raptors were outrebounded 200-188, including 45-42 by the Celtics and 44-34 by the Grizzlies.

Towns has opened the season with 11 straight double-doubles, tying Willis Reed's franchise record, according to the Associated Press. Poeltl, who blocked four shots against the Grizzlies, anchors the Raptors' interior.

Can the Raptors turn pressure into extra possessions?

Opponents committed 87 turnovers in the Raptors' last five games, 17.4 per game, while the Raptors committed 74. The Knicks averaged 12.6 turnovers over their last five, with a high of 16 against the Nets on Nov. 2.

If the Raptors push that number past 16, they gain the extra possessions they need to offset the Knicks' rebounding edge.

How will Hart's return change the Knicks' rotation?

The Knicks won the three games Hart missed by 30, 12 and 32 points, with Shamet starting and playing 25 to 29 minutes in each. When Hart came back against the Cavaliers, Shamet moved to the bench and played 29 minutes, while Mikal Bridges played 17.

How Hart, Shamet and Bridges share the wing minutes is the rotation decision to watch.

What could move Knicks at Raptors prediction?

Two Raptors decisions remain open. Barnes averaged 23.5 points and 5.1 assists through his first eight games. The Raptors went 1-2 in the three games he missed, and his return would restore both numbers to the rotation.

If Quickley sits again, Shead moves into the starting group. He had 15 assists against the Bucks and 11 against the Grizzlies, which makes him the Raptors' ballhandling fallback.

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