Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans prediction, start time and team news on Nov. 19, 2026

The Colts at Texans game opens NFL Week 11 on Thursday, Nov. 19, at 8:15 p.m. ET. The Texans are 3-5 and winless at home, while the Colts are 2-7 and have lost five straight. The Texans' pass rush meets an offense in transition.

Both teams play Sunday at 1 p.m. ET, the Colts at home against the Dolphins and the Texans at the Browns, which leaves about four days of preparation. The Colts also traded receivers Keenan Allen and Josh Downs on Nov. 10, which changes how they can attack.

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

When is Colts vs Texans?

• Date: Thursday, November 19, 2026
• Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Competition: NFL, Week 11
• Home team: Texans
• Colts win: 21%
• Texans win: 81%

What is the Colts vs Texans prediction?

The Texans are favorites at 81% on OG.com prediction markets, with the Colts at 21%. Market data as of November 13, 2026. For the latest market probabilities, check the OG.com platform.

The Texans' case starts with the pass rush. They are tied for first in the league with 29 sacks and took down Justin Herbert eight times in a 44-22 win over the Chargers in Week 9. The Colts have been sacked 25 times, which ranks 25th of 32 teams.

Turnovers add to the Colts' problem. Their turnover margin of minus 11 is tied for 31st, and their six takeaways rank 31st. Stroud has thrown two interceptions with 16 touchdowns, and the Texans' four giveaways are the fewest in the league.

The Colts' route to an upset runs through Jonathan Taylor, who has 656 rushing yards and eight touchdowns on 161 carries. It also needs a defense that allows 27.7 points a game, 30th in the league, to slow a Texans passing attack that averages 269 yards, third best.

The Texans are 0-4 at home, including 34-30 and 27-21 losses to the Cowboys and Giants. A Sunday trip to the Browns leaves them little time to fix that before Thursday.

Colts vs Texans win probabilities

• Colts win: 21%
• Texans win: 81%

These percentages are implied probabilities that reflect the market's expectations, not guaranteed outcomes. Prediction market prices can change as traders react to new information. Check the contract terms to see how overtime is handled.

How could Colts vs Texans unfold?

The game likely turns on how the Colts handle the first few passing downs against a front that wins early.

The first test comes on the Colts' right side. Tackle Jalen Travis left the Week 9 loss with a knee injury and, according to CBS Sports, is expected to miss two to four weeks.

Texans defensive end Will Anderson Jr. leads the team with 9.5 sacks, so any replacement faces the most productive rusher in the front.

Taylor gives the Colts a counter. He ran for 94 yards and a touchdown against the Titans and 95 yards and a touchdown at Minnesota. The Colts' 165 rushing yards against Tennessee are their best mark of the last five games.

A similar day would test a Texans front that allowed 188 rushing yards to the Giants in Week 7. The Texans' season rushing defense is stronger at 103 yards a game, so the Colts need more than one good drive to change the game.

Game state shapes both plans. Three of the Colts' last five games and three of the Texans' last five were decided by eight points or fewer. The Cowboys beat the Colts 27-23 after outgaining them 508 yards to 271, a reminder that a close score can hide a wide gap.

If the Colts trail early, Daniel Jones has to throw into a rush that produced eight sacks in Week 9. If they hold the margin, Taylor and the run game can shorten the night and keep Stroud on the sideline.

What is the latest team news?

Neither team has a Week 11 injury report yet, and Sunday's games will reshape both lists.

What is the latest on the Colts?

The Colts traded Allen to the 49ers and Downs to the Chiefs on Nov. 10 for fourth-, fifth- and sixth-round picks in the 2027 draft, according to the team's website. Jones remains the starting quarterback, and tight end Tyler Warren led the team with 275 receiving yards through Week 9.

The Colts' unofficial Week 10 depth chart lists Laquon Treadwell, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Anthony Gould, Ashton Dulin and Deion Burks at receiver. Alec Pierce (heel) is still on injured reserve, and coach Shane Steichen has not put a timetable on his return.

Linebackers Jaylon Carlies (neck) and Akeem Davis-Gaither (knee) and tight end Mo Alie-Cox (groin) did not practice Thursday. Their Sunday status will show how much depth the Colts bring to a short week.

What is the latest on the Texans?

Stroud is not on the Texans' Week 10 injury report. The Associated Press reported he played through an illness in Week 9 and threw for 384 yards and five touchdowns.

Wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. (hamstring) and running back Woody Marks (knee) went from limited Wednesday to not practicing Thursday. David Montgomery (groin) moved from not practicing to limited.

Anderson (ankle) and defensive end Danielle Hunter (hamstring) were limited Thursday. Tank Dell, who had 105 receiving yards and a touchdown in his second game back from a knee injury, practiced fully.

What could decide Colts vs Texans?

Three matchups look most likely to shape the result.

Can the Colts protect Daniel Jones without extra help?

The Colts allowed six sacks against the Titans in Week 6 and four at Minnesota in Week 7. Against a front with 29 sacks, the plan probably needs chips from tight ends and backs. With Alie-Cox not practicing, that help pulls Warren or Taylor out of routes.

Can the Colts control the game with the run?

Taylor's production comes with a caveat. The Colts held the ball for 38:32 against the Titans and still lost 26-20 after three turnovers and six sacks. Controlling the clock helps only if Jones protects the ball, and he has 10 interceptions.

Can the Texans find balance on offense?

The Texans pass efficiently and run poorly, averaging 87 rushing yards a game, 29th in the league. Marks has 341 yards on 95 carries, about 3.6 a carry.

The Colts allow 137 rushing yards a game, 30th, so a healthy Marks and Montgomery could give Stroud play-action help. Both are on the Week 10 practice report, which keeps that edge uncertain.

What could move Colts vs Texans prediction?

Injury news could move the market first. If Anderson or Hunter is out, the Colts' protection problem eases. If Harrison and Marks are out, the Texans lose a receiver and their lead back, and the Colts' defense faces a more predictable passing game.

Prices can shift after injury reports, and a limit order lets traders set the price they are willing to accept. Traders who follow status updates can use sports prediction markets to watch how a team's chances change. Check which football markets are available today in the daily sports prediction markets listings.

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