Chicago Bulls at New York Knicks prediction, team news and lineups on Nov. 4, 2026
The Knicks are 86% favorites against the Bulls at 22%, with the Bulls' paint defense the main question. Nic Claxton's possible return gives the Bulls a rim protector against a Knicks team that wins on the glass.
Basketball
By George Karmpoulonis

The Bulls at Knicks game on Wednesday, Nov. 4, pairs two slow starters: the Bulls are 1-5 and the Knicks are 2-4 in the 2026–27 regular season. The Knicks won the first meeting 133-127 on Oct. 28, with Jalen Brunson scoring 38 points.
The defending champion Knicks have lost four of six, including a 98-93 defeat to the 76ers on Oct. 30. The Bulls have lost four straight, and the return of center Nic Claxton from a hamstring strain could be the first real change to a defense that has given up 128.2 points a game over its last five.
This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
When is Bulls at Knicks?
- Date: Wednesday, November 4, 2026
- Tip-off: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Competition: NBA, 2026–27 regular season
- Home team: Knicks
The game shares the day with the rest of the sports schedule, which the daily sports prediction markets guide lists in full.
What is the Bulls at Knicks prediction?
The Knicks are favorites at 86%, with the Bulls at 22%. These implied probabilities reflect the market's expectations, not guaranteed outcomes. Prediction market prices can change as traders react to new information. Market data as of November 2, 2026. For the latest market probabilities, check the OG.com platform.
The Knicks' case starts on the glass. They outrebounded the Bulls 50-39 on Oct. 28, finished ahead on the boards in four of their last five games and have Karl-Anthony Towns averaging 13.5 rebounds. Extra possessions give a streaky three-point team more chances to recover from cold stretches.
The Bulls' route is to keep scoring and find stops. They have averaged 117.8 points over their last five games and scored 127 on Oct. 28, and rookie Caleb Wilson, the fourth overall pick, averages 21.2 points and can create his own shot.
Bulls at Knicks win probabilities
The Knicks hold the clear market edge despite a 2-4 record, while the Bulls' 1-5 start gives them the longer price. Traders who follow sports prediction markets can check the contract terms to see how overtime is handled.
How could Bulls at Knicks unfold?
The first meeting showed how the Knicks like to play: more shots, more threes and enough rebounding to survive a high-scoring game.
The Knicks took 105 shots to the Bulls' 91 on Oct. 28, a volume edge that followed the rebounding gap, and made 22 of 48 threes. The Bulls shot 44 of 91 and made 18 of 42 threes themselves, so the 133 points they allowed decided the game.
The Bulls' offense works when it gets downhill. They scored 62 points in the paint at the Bucks on Oct. 23 and 54 against the Wizards on Oct. 24, but only 30 and 40 in their two games at the Celtics. Norman Powell, Wilson and Matas Buzelis combined for 67 of the 127 points against the Knicks, so the Bulls have shot creators who can find paint touches when the Knicks' defense stays spread.
The Knicks' paint numbers over their last five games are close (204 scored, 196 allowed), so the rebounding gap gives the Knicks more separation than interior scoring does.
What is the latest team news?
Each team enters the game with one rotation question, and the Bulls' is the bigger one.
What is the latest on the Bulls?
Claxton has not played this season after straining his left hamstring in training camp. He was a full participant in Sunday's practice, coach Tiago Splitter said, and was listed as doubtful for the Bulls' Monday game against the 76ers. ESPN shows Nov. 4 as his estimated return.
Jalen Smith (finger) and Tobe Awaka (ankle) were listed as probable for that game, and Dailyn Swain (back) is day-to-day.
What is the latest on the Knicks?
Jose Alvarado is out with an ankle injury, according to ESPN, and has missed at least four straight games. Tyler Kolek averages 6.3 assists in 14.3 minutes off the bench.
Brunson appeared to roll an ankle late in the Oct. 30 loss to the 76ers, according to the AP, and does not appear on ESPN's injury list.
What are the projected starting lineups?
Both teams have used the same starting five in each of their last five games.
How could the Bulls line up?
Projected starting five:
- Josh Giddey
- Norman Powell
- Matas Buzelis
- Caleb Wilson
- Jalen Smith
This projection keeps Smith at center. If Claxton is cleared, he is the likely alternative, since Sports Illustrated's Elias Schuster notes he has long been viewed as the starting center once healthy.
How could the Knicks line up?
Projected starting five:
- Jalen Brunson
- Mikal Bridges
- Josh Hart
- OG Anunoby
- Karl-Anthony Towns
This projection assumes the group that started the last five games stays intact, including Brunson after his late ankle roll against the 76ers. Kolek, Landry Shamet and Miles McBride are the guard reserves.
What could decide Bulls at Knicks?
The Oct. 28 game came down to stops and shot-making, and both problems remain.
Can the Bulls get stops without giving up threes?
Opponents have scored 254 points in the paint against the Bulls over their last five games, an average of 50.8. A rim protector can shrink drives and rolls, but help at the rim can also leave shooters open, and the Knicks made 22 threes in the first meeting. Claxton would address one half of the problem and leave the other to the Bulls' perimeter defenders.
Can Brunson carry the Knicks if the threes stay uneven?
The Knicks have made 72 of 203 threes (35.5%) over their last five games, with results ranging from 9 of 38 against the Magic to 22 of 48 against the Bulls. Their scoring over that span ran from 93 to 133 points. Brunson averages 25.5 points on 39.5% shooting, so his shot-making becomes the stabilizer when the perimeter looks like the Orlando game.
Can the Bulls' three-point volume produce better results?
The Bulls have attempted 224 threes in their last five games, 44.8 a night, and made 69 (30.8%). The Knicks have allowed 72 of 194 (37.1%) over the same games, which gives a high-volume team room to improve on its recent shooting. The Oct. 28 game, at 18 of 42, was the Bulls' best three-point night of the five.
What could move Bulls at Knicks prediction?
Claxton is the one pending decision with a clear basketball consequence. If he is cleared, Splitter chooses between Claxton and Smith at center, which changes who guards Towns on the glass. If he sits, Smith keeps the starting job.
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