Brentford vs Everton prediction, team news and lineups on Nov. 23, 2026

Brentford vs Everton brings together two clubs separated by two points in the Premier League table, with Brentford eighth on 14 points and Everton sixth on 16. Both sides have scored six and conceded seven in their last five league games.

The tension is in the forward lines. Brentford must cope without Thiago, sent off at Brighton, while Everton bring the in-form Barry and three straight wins across all competitions into west London.

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

When is Brentford vs Everton?

• Date: Monday, November 23, 2026
• Kickoff: 8 p.m. GMT / 3 p.m. ET
• Competition: Premier League
• Brentford win: 49%
• Draw: 27%
• Everton win: 28%

What is the Brentford vs Everton prediction?

Brentford are favorites at 49%, with the draw at 27% and Everton at 28%, according to OG.com prediction markets. These percentages are implied probabilities that reflect the market's expectations, not guaranteed outcomes, and they can change as traders react to new information. Market data as of November 10, 2026. For the latest market probabilities, check the OG.com platform.

A draw is a live outcome in this three-way market, so check the contract terms to see how it settles.

Brentford's case starts at home. The Bees beat Nottingham Forest 2-0 at the Gtech on October 31. Kevin Schade, Dango Ouattara and Keane Lewis-Potter give them pace and width against an Everton back line that has conceded seven in its last five league games.

Everton's case is just as concrete. They have more shots on target than their opponents over that five-game stretch (27 to 22), while Brentford have been out-shot on target 21 to 13. Barry's finishing and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall's creativity give the Toffees a direct route to goal.

Thiago's absence is the biggest swing. Brentford need a different source of goals, and Everton's defenders must keep Schade and Ouattara from running in behind. The question is whether Brentford can create enough without Thiago before Everton's attack finds its gap.

Brentford vs Everton win probabilities

• Brentford win – 49%
• Draw – 27%
• Everton win – 28%

The draw sits just below Everton's win price, so a split of the points is nearly as likely in the market as an away victory. On the pitch, the clubs are two points apart and have identical goal tallies over their last five league games, which keeps the contest tight.

What is the latest Brentford team news?

Igor Thiago is the headline. The Brazilian forward was shown a straight red card at Brighton on November 8 after a VAR review, and he faces a three-match ban that starts with this game unless Brentford win an appeal. Sports Mole and the Liverpool Echo both report that he is expected to miss it.

The loss hurts because Thiago scored a hat-trick at Everton and two more at the Gtech last season, according to the Echo. Callum Wilson has made six league appearances this season, all as a substitute, and Kevin Schade or Dango Ouattara could also move into central roles. Kaye Furo, a 19-year-old striker, is recovering from a foot injury and could return after the break.

Elsewhere, Fabio Carvalho and Rico Henry were ruled out until after the international break, and Antoni Milambo was "probably not" available for Brighton, with Josh Dasilva closer to a return, according to Keith Andrews. Brentford started in a 4-4-2 at Brighton.

What is the latest Everton team news?

Everton are settled in most areas. Thierno Barry has scored in three straight games and has 10 goals this season in all competitions. Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall has created 21 chances in the Premier League, more than double any teammate, according to BBC Sport.

Jack Grealish has missed four straight games for sickness, a breach of club discipline and fitness reasons. The Liverpool Echo reports that he is back at Finch Farm on a tailored program, though David Moyes has given no return date.

Jarrad Branthwaite came off with cramp against Newcastle on November 2 but started against Coventry, and he is in England's squad along with Jordan Pickford and James Garner. Moyes has used a different right winger in each of the last six games, so that spot is open.

How could Brentford line up?

Brentford are likely to line up in a 4-4-2:

• Goalkeeper: Caoimhin Kelleher
• Right back: Michael Kayode
• Right center back: Kristoffer Ajer
• Left center back: Sepp van den Berg
• Left back: Aaron Hickey
• Right center midfield: Mamadou Sangare
• Left center midfield: Vitaly Janelt
• Right wing: Dango Ouattara
• Left wing: Keane Lewis-Potter
• Right striker: Callum Wilson
• Left striker: Kevin Schade

How could Everton line up?

Everton are likely to line up in a 4-2-3-1:

• Goalkeeper: Jordan Pickford
• Right back: Merlin Rohl
• Right center back: James Tarkowski
• Left center back: Jarrad Branthwaite
• Left back: Vitaliy Mykolenko
• Holding midfield: James Garner
• Holding midfield: Harrison Armstrong
• Right wing: Tyler Dibling
• No. 10: Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
• Left wing: Tyrique George
• Striker: Thierno Barry
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What could decide Brentford vs Everton?

Four matchups stand out, each tied to a change in personnel or form since the last international break.

Can Brentford find goals without Igor Thiago?

Thiago has two goals and two assists in 10 league games this season, all in his last five full appearances. Wilson, 34, has not started a league game, so Schade's direct running may carry more of the load for a side that averaged 42.4% possession over its last five league games.

Can Thierno Barry keep Everton's attack moving?

Barry is Everton's only recognized striker, so the attack runs through him. He scored twice against Coventry and has six goals in his last seven games in all competitions, with Dewsbury-Hall supplying the service from behind him.

Does Brentford's discipline hold up?

Andrews noted that both of Brentford's league defeats this season came with 10 men. At Brighton they trailed after 15 minutes, lost Thiago after 23 and were out-shot 20 to 5, so another early setback would leave them short of attacking options.

Who plays on Everton's right wing?

Moyes has started a different player on the right in each of the last six games, and Grealish's return would add another option. Tyler Dibling, Merlin Rohl and Tyrique George all have a case, and the choice changes how Everton attack Brentford's left side.

What does the Brentford vs Everton head-to-head history show?

The clubs drew 2-2 at the Gtech Community Stadium on April 11, 2026. Thiago scored twice, and Dewsbury-Hall equalized for Everton in stoppage time. Brentford won 4-2 at Everton on January 4, 2026.

What could move Brentford vs Everton prediction before kickoff?

An appeal against the Thiago suspension is the clearest pending change, although Sports Mole rates its chances as unlikely. Everton's right-wing selection, any fitness issue for Branthwaite after England duty, and Grealish's status could also change the picture before the November 23 game.

Traders who want control over the price they pay can use limit orders while the market reacts to team news. Other sports prediction markets running that day appear in the daily sports prediction markets schedule.

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