Buffalo Bills at New York Jets prediction, start time and team news on Nov. 15, 2026

The Bills at Jets game on Sunday, November 15, at MetLife Stadium is a Week 10 meeting between a 7-1 team that has won four in a row and a 2-7 team that has lost four straight. The Bills are coming off a Monday night win in Minnesota and have six days to turn around.

That 23-6 win over the Vikings came with left tackle Dion Dawkins and left guard Alec Anderson inactive, so the Bills have already shown they can score against a top defense with a reshuffled line.

The Jets need to turn a defense that has allowed 26 or more points in each of its last four games into a unit that can slow James Cook.

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

When is Bills vs Jets?

• Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
• Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
• Competition: NFL, Week 10
• Home team: Jets
• Bills win: 81%
• Jets win: 20%

What is the Bills vs Jets prediction?

The Bills are favorites at 81%, with the Jets at 20%, according to OG.com prediction markets. Market data as of November 10, 2026. For the latest market probabilities, check the OG.com platform.

The case for the Bills starts on the ground. The Bills average 147 rushing yards per game, second in the league, and the Jets allow 128 per game, 26th. Cook carried 31 times for 107 yards against Minnesota, and the Chiefs ran for 163 yards against the Jets last Sunday.

The Jets have a credible route through the Bills' pass defense, which allows 239 yards per game, 29th in the league. Geno Smith has thrown for 2,078 yards with 12 touchdowns and three interceptions, and the Jets scored 25 against Miami and 33 against Las Vegas without winning either game.

That route gets harder without receiver Garrett Wilson, who leads the Jets with 43 catches and 527 yards and remains in the concussion protocol. The Bills' strongest case is a game where Cook keeps the Jets' defense on the field and Josh Allen does not have to chase points.

Bills vs Jets win probabilities

• Bills win: 81%
• Jets win: 20%

Prediction market prices reflect implied probabilities. They describe the market's expectations, not guaranteed outcomes, and they can move as new information arrives.

How could Bills vs Jets unfold?

The Bills' offense leans on Cook and Allen's legs. Cook has 814 yards on 169 carries this season, about 4.8 per carry, and Allen ran for 121 yards at the Rams. Minnesota held the Bills to 339 total yards, yet the Bills controlled the ball for 42:32 and won by 17.

The Jets' pass rush is the counterweight. David Bailey has 7.5 sacks, and the Jets have 22 as a team. Allen was sacked four times against the Vikings, so a Jets rush that wins early downs could turn the Bills' drives into third-and-long.

If the Jets keep the score close, the Bills' pass defense becomes the story. Smith threw for 290 yards against the Raiders and 287 against the Dolphins, and both games ended in losses. The Jets also have the better turnover margin this season at plus three, compared with even for the Bills, which points to a short field for the Jets when the Bills turn it over.

What is the latest team news?

Both teams have designations that could change before Sunday. The NFL's game status report is due by 4 p.m. Friday, so Wednesday and Thursday practice participation will say more than the current listings.

What is the latest on the Bills?

ESPN lists Dawkins (ribs), Anderson (ankle) and defensive tackle Greg Gaines (calf) as questionable. Dawkins and Anderson did not play in Minnesota, where Tylan Grable started at left tackle and Austin Corbett at left guard, according to the Times Herald-Record.

Cornerback Christian Benford hurt his right wrist against the Vikings and did not return after the third quarter. Receiver Joshua Palmer went on injured reserve and will miss this game. Tight end Dalton Kincaid rolled his left ankle against Minnesota and returned.

What is the latest on the Jets?

Wilson entered the concussion protocol after a helmet-to-helmet hit against the Raiders on November 1, and he must clear it before he can play. ESPN lists cornerback Nahshon Wright, linebacker Trevin Wallace and defensive end Joseph Ossai as out, with safety VJ Payne on injured reserve.

Running back Breece Hall returned at Kansas City after missing five games with a quadriceps injury and carried 15 times for 61 yards. Sources told NFL Network's Ian Rapoport that edge rusher Will McDonald IV has asked for a trade, and the Jets said they have no plans to move him.

What could decide Bills vs Jets?

Three matchups carry the most weight here. Each one can change how long the Jets' defense stays on the field and how many chances Smith gets to move the offense.

Can the Jets stop Cook and the Bills' run game?

The Jets allowed 163 rushing yards in Kansas City, and Braelon Allen's 598 yards on 120 carries show the Jets can run it themselves at about five yards a carry. Stopping Cook on early downs would put the Bills in third-down situations, where they converted 7 of 18 on Monday.

Can the Bills' left side hold up against Bailey?

If Dawkins and Anderson are out again, Grable and Corbett would likely start for a second straight week. Bailey had two sacks against Kansas City, and he is the Jets' most consistent route to pressure Allen.

Can the Jets score without Wilson?

The Jets scored 12 points in Kansas City without Wilson, all on field goals, and failed to reach the end zone. Omar Cooper Jr. caught eight passes for 58 yards in that game, and Adonai Mitchell had seven catches for 142 yards the week before.

What could move the Bills vs Jets prediction?

Wilson's protocol status is the largest pending change for the Jets. The left side of the Bills' offensive line comes next, with Benford's wrist and Gaines's calf close behind.

Friday's designations and the inactive lists on Sunday morning are the next points where those answers arrive. A trader who wants price control can use a limit order, which sets the price they are willing to accept but does not protect against losses.

Traders can follow sports prediction markets across leagues, and the daily sports prediction markets guide lists the wider schedule around this Week 10 game.

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