Cincinnati Bearcats at Iowa State Cyclones prediction, start time and team news on Nov. 14, 2026

The Bearcats at Cyclones game on Saturday, Nov. 14, pairs two 2-4 Big 12 teams that still need wins to reach bowl eligibility. The Bearcats are 5-4 and need one more victory after back-to-back losses to Utah and Houston. The Cyclones are 4-5, and winning both of their remaining home games would get them to six wins.

Noon ET at Jack Trice Stadium on TNT pits Aiden Flora, who has 1,119 rushing yards for the Cyclones, against a Bearcats defense that ranks 132nd in the FBS at 445 yards allowed a game. JV Gibson's availability gives the Bearcats' offense a question of its own.

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When is Bearcats vs Cyclones?

• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Kickoff: 12:00 p.m. ET
• Competition: College football
• Home team: Cyclones
• Bearcats win: 43%
• Cyclones win: 60%

What is the Bearcats vs Cyclones prediction?

OG.com prediction traders make the Cyclones favorites at 60%, with the Bearcats at 43%. Market data as of November 11, 2026. For the latest market probabilities, check the OG.com platform.

The Cyclones' case starts with Flora and home field. Flora averages 7.13 yards a carry, and the Cyclones are 4-1 at Jack Trice Stadium this season, with the lone loss to Utah. Against a Bearcats defense that allows 445 yards a game, that run game has the clearest path to controlling the clock.

The Bearcats' case rests on efficiency. They average 33.0 points and 447 yards a game, compared with 29.2 and 381 for the Cyclones, and JC French IV has thrown 15 touchdowns against three interceptions. Their running attack ranks 10th at 222 yards a game, and Cole Tabb averages 8.9 yards a carry.

Gibson's status is the pending development most likely to shift this assessment. He leads the Bearcats with 39 catches for 515 yards, and coach Scott Satterfield called him the team's biggest question mark.

Bearcats vs Cyclones win probabilities

• Bearcats win: 43%
• Cyclones win: 60%

The two percentages add up to 103%, with a 17-point gap between the sides. Prediction market prices reflect implied probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes, and they can change as traders react to new information.

How could Bearcats vs Cyclones unfold?

The Cyclones' season has tracked Flora's workload. He ran 22 times for 212 yards in the 45-42 win over West Virginia and 29 times for 221 in the 51-49 win over Oklahoma State. In the losses at BYU and Arizona he gained 86 and 36 yards, and the Cyclones scored 10 and three points.

Even 182 yards from Flora at Baylor ended in a 42-31 loss, because the defense allowed 423 yards. The Bearcats' defense has allowed 238, 134, 173, 268 and 241 rushing yards in its last five games, an average of 210.8. That is well above its season mark of 169 a game.

The Cyclones' defense has its own run problem. It has allowed 291, 177, 141, 210 and 194 rushing yards in its last five games, an average of 202.6, and the Bearcats' offense is built to test that. Tabb ran for 118, 173 and 131 yards in the three games before Houston.

Slow starts have cost the Bearcats on the road. They trailed Houston 14-0 in the first quarter and needed until the fourth quarter to tie it at 24. A similar hole in Ames would push French toward the pass-heavy script he ran at West Virginia, when he threw for 389 yards in a 45-42 loss.

Pressure is an unlikely answer for the Cyclones. They rank tied for 113th with 12 sacks and tied for 120th with three interceptions. Cyclone Fanatic also reports they allow 37.8 points a game in Big 12 play, 15th in the 16-team conference.

What is the latest team news?

Both teams have receiver questions, and only one of them is settled.

What is the latest on the Bearcats?

Gibson left the loss at Houston in the fourth quarter after a hit near the goal line that drew a targeting ejection, and he was taken to a hospital before returning home with the team. On Nov. 10, Satterfield called him day-to-day, said he is "still not out of the woods yet" and expected to know more on Wednesday.

Tabb did not return after the opening possession of the second half at Houston, and he took part in Monday's walk-through. Satterfield said, "I feel good about him." Gi'Bran Payne had 71 yards on 11 carries in that game. If Gibson sits, Elijah Jones will get "a lot of reps," Satterfield said.

Satterfield described Taran Tyo, Simeon Coleman and Josh Hough as improving.

What is the latest on the Cyclones?

Coach Jimmy Rogers said wide receiver Cody Jackson is out for the season after a hard fall in the fourth quarter at Baylor. Jackson caught six passes for 160 yards and a touchdown against West Virginia.

Jackson joins a long list. The school's game notes show 10 players lost for the season through eight games, including wide receiver Dominic Overby, and 18 first-time collegiate starters, the second-most nationally.

Quarterback Jaylen Raynor threw for 256 yards and two touchdowns at Baylor after 309 yards and three touchdowns against Oklahoma State. No injury has been reported for him or Flora.

What could decide Bearcats vs Cyclones?

Three matchups stand out from the season data.

Can the Bearcats tackle Aiden Flora in space?

Flora's value comes in chunks. He opened the Baylor game with a 40-yard touchdown run and ranks sixth nationally with 1,365 all-purpose yards, according to the school, including a 66-yard punt return touchdown against Bowling Green. Satterfield called him "one of the faster running backs in the country."

Tackling in space is the Bearcats' test, since a defense giving up 445 yards a game has few chances to recover from missed ones.

Can the Bearcats score without Gibson and a full backfield?

The Bearcats convert 47.0% of their third downs (22nd in the FBS), including 9 of 14 at Houston, and a limited Gibson or Tabb would test that.

The Cyclones' opponents converted 28 of 60 third downs (46.7%) over the last five games, so extending drives is the most direct way to offset a thinner receiver group.

Which team wins the turnover battle?

The Cyclones have seven fumble recoveries, tied for the Big 12 lead, and the school's notes show a 30-14 advantage in points off turnovers. Rogers' teams are 33-4 in three seasons when they tie or win the turnover battle.

The Bearcats have six interceptions, and Raynor has thrown five. One turnover decided the Houston game, when French's last throw was ruled a backward pass and Houston recovered with 2:11 left.

What does the Bearcats vs Cyclones head-to-head history show?

The Cyclones lead the all-time series 2-1. They won 34-17 at Jack Trice Stadium in 2024, and the Bearcats won last season's meeting 38-30 at home after leading 17-0 after the first quarter and 31-15 at halftime.

Both rosters have turned over since then. The Cyclones have 83 newcomers among 126 players and a first-year head coach in Rogers, so the series offers one transferable point: the cost of a slow start.

What could move Bearcats vs Cyclones market price?

Several pending decisions could shift the outlook before kickoff. Gibson's ruling is the largest, followed by Tabb's practice participation and any availability note on Raynor or Flora.

Status updates for key players can change how traders price sports prediction markets. A limit order sets the price at which an order can fill, which gives control when prices are moving quickly.

Traders following several games on the same Saturday can find the day's slate in the daily sports prediction markets schedule.

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