Barcelona vs Villarreal prediction, team news and lineups on Nov. 22, 2026

The Barcelona vs Villarreal game at Spotify Camp Nou on Sunday, Nov. 22, is Barcelona's first outing after the international break. They lead La Liga with 33 points after a 2-1 comeback at Atlético Madrid, three clear of Real Madrid.

Villarreal are eighth on 15 points. Iñigo Pérez's side beat Getafe 2-0 on Nov. 8 after a 6-0 Champions League loss to Paris Saint-Germain and a 1-0 home defeat to Espanyol.

They arrive with a result to build on and a lot to prove against an attack that scored 17 league goals in its last five games.

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

When is Barcelona vs Villarreal?

• Date: Sunday, November 22, 2026
• Kickoff: 2:00 p.m. CET / 8:00 a.m. ET
• Competition: La Liga
• Barcelona win: 81%
• Draw: 13%
• Villarreal win: 8%

What is the Barcelona vs Villarreal prediction?

Barcelona are favorites at 81%, with the draw at 13% and Villarreal at 8%, according to OG.com prediction markets. These percentages reflect the market's expectations, not guaranteed outcomes, and they can change as traders react to new information. Market data as of November 10, 2026. For the latest market probabilities, check the OG.com platform.

The case for Barcelona starts with goals. They won four of their last five league games, scored 17 and conceded six, which works out to one goal for every 5.4 shots (17 goals from 91 shots). Their only defeat in that run was a 2-1 loss to Real Madrid on Oct. 25.

Villarreal's route runs through territory they already own. They averaged 61.6% possession and outshot opponents 90-41 across their last five league games, yet scored four goals, one for every 22.5 shots. All four came from the 69th minute onward, so a tight game that stays level into the final half hour suits them best.

Two selection questions give that plan some substance. Rodri, Barcelona's midfield anchor, is out with a hamstring injury, and Yamal left the Atlético win with knee discomfort that kept him out of Spain's squad. Barcelona also conceded in the 84th and 87th minutes of two of their last five league games, so late pressure has found them before.

The sharpest question is whether Villarreal can turn long spells of possession into a first goal before Barcelona's attack settles the game.

Barcelona vs Villarreal win probabilities

• Barcelona win – 81%
• Draw – 13%
• Villarreal win – 8%

Prediction market prices reflect implied probabilities, and these three describe a game Barcelona are expected to control. The draw is the realistic alternative if Villarreal keep it level into the closing stages, which is where their recent goals have come from.

What is the latest Barcelona team news?

Barcelona's availability list is long, and several returns hinge on the next two weeks. Rodri hurt his hamstring in the Champions League win over Aston Villa on Nov. 3 and missed the Atlético game. Transfermarkt's injury tracker lists Dec. 1 as his expected return, so he is unlikely to be fit for this one.

Yamal is the bigger variable. Spain said he reported discomfort in his right knee after the Atlético game and pulled him from the Nations League trip to Czechia. Sport reported that Monday's tests showed nothing serious, and FotMob lists a recovery of about one to two weeks.

Dani Olmo (adductor) and Jules Koundé (ankle) were both still in rehabilitation before the break. Goal reported that Rodri, Koundé and Olmo could return afterward, and Transfermarkt lists Nov. 16 for Olmo and Koundé. Xavi Espart (ankle) is listed out until December.

At Atlético, Hansi Flick used a 4-1-4-1 with Marc Bernal as the lone holding midfielder and Pedri and Fermín López ahead of him. López scored both goals in the 2-1 win, so the system produced even without Rodri.

What is the latest Villarreal team news?

Pérez confirmed before the Getafe game that Gerard Moreno, Juan Foyth, Ilias Akhomach and Alassane Diatta were unavailable. El Mundo reports that the break gives Foyth, Akhomach and Moreno time to recover, while Diatta faces about five months out after hamstring surgery.

Nathan Saliba returned from a muscle injury for the Getafe game, and Pérez said his availability carried some risk of a relapse. International players return to Villarreal gradually early next week.

Against Getafe, Villarreal used a 4-2-3-1 with Georges Mikautadze as the lone striker and Alberto Moleiro in the No. 10 role. Pérez has said he does not believe in drastic changes after defeats, but he is working on new ways to break down teams that defend deep.

How could Barcelona line up?

Barcelona are likely to line up in a 4-1-4-1, assuming Lamine Yamal is available:

• Goalkeeper: Joan García
• Right back: Brian Fariñas
• Right center back: Pau Cubarsí
• Left center back: Gerard Martín
• Left back: João Cancelo
• Holding midfield: Marc Bernal
• Right center midfield: Fermín López
• Left center midfield: Pedri
• Right wing: Lamine Yamal
• Left wing: Anthony Gordon
• Striker: Raphinha

How could Villarreal line up?

Villarreal are likely to line up in a 4-2-3-1:

• Goalkeeper: Péter Gulácsi
• Right back: Santiago Mouriño
• Right center back: Logan Costa
• Left center back: Renato Veiga
• Left back: Carlos Romero
• Right center midfield: Carlos Macià
• Left center midfield: Pape Gueye
• No. 10: Alberto Moleiro
• Right wing: Tajon Buchanan
• Left wing: Tani Oluwaseyi
• Striker: Georges Mikautadze
• La Liga games
• La Liga futures
• Soccer games
• Soccer futures
• All sports
• Live now

What could decide Barcelona vs Villarreal?

Four questions shape this game, starting with how Barcelona's middle of the pitch copes without its anchor.

Can Barcelona's midfield cope without Rodri?

Barcelona answered that question well at Atlético, but not at once. They trailed after 10 minutes and Julián Álvarez had a one-on-one in the sixth minute before López's two goals turned the game. Villarreal conceded four goals in the first 17 minutes against Paris Saint-Germain, so Pérez will want his side to start with more control than that.

Will Yamal's knee change Barcelona's attack?

Yamal's role at Atlético shows what is at stake. He created seven chances and set up López's winner in the 66th minute, and he has started all 16 of Barcelona's games this season. If he is not fully fit, Raphinha, Gordon and Gabriel Jesus carry the attacking load, and Jesus has two league goals in the last five games.

Can Villarreal turn possession into goals?

The gap between Villarreal's shots and goals is the clearest weakness in their recent form. They had 22 shots and seven on target against Getafe but needed until the 80th minute to score. Barcelona's last five league opponents managed 36 shots and 18 on target in total, so chances will come in smaller numbers at Camp Nou.

How dangerous are Villarreal late in games?

Late goals have been Villarreal's best weapon. Mikautadze scored in the sixth minute of stoppage time to win at Valencia, and Buchanan and Romero both scored after the 80th minute against Getafe. Real Madrid scored in the 41st and 87th minutes at Camp Nou, with Barcelona's equalizer coming in the 61st, so late goals have already decided one of Barcelona's results this season.

What does the Barcelona vs Villarreal head-to-head history show?

Barcelona have won three of the last four league meetings. They beat Villarreal 4-1 at Camp Nou on Feb. 28, 2026, when Yamal scored a hat-trick and Gueye replied for Villarreal. Barcelona also won 2-0 at Villarreal on Dec. 21, 2025, and 5-1 there on Sept. 22, 2024.

Villarreal's only win in that stretch came on May 18, 2025, when they won 3-2 at Camp Nou.

What could move Barcelona vs Villarreal prediction before kickoff?

Confirmed team sheets usually arrive about an hour before kickoff, and several selection questions could change the picture before then. Yamal's fitness is the first. Olmo and Koundé returning would add options for Barcelona, while Rodri's absence is expected to continue.

For Villarreal, the recovery of Foyth, Moreno and Akhomach would widen Pérez's options, and Saliba's fitness could shape the midfield pairing. Prices can move quickly when lineups land, and limit orders let traders set the price they're willing to accept.

Traders who follow sports prediction markets often watch lineups and injury news closely, and Sunday's La Liga game joins the other events on the daily sports prediction markets calendar.

Important information

Important Information: Prediction is an event contract that is a derivatives product offered by North American Derivatives Exchange, Inc. (NADEX), a CFTC-regulated exchange, which does business under the brand OG.com Prediction Markets (OG) Crypto.com | Derivatives North America and uses a CFTC-regulated exchange that uses OG.com technology.

Trading on OG.com involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. By trading you risk losing your cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on OG.com is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk