Wisconsin Badgers at Maryland Terrapins prediction, start time and team news on Nov. 14, 2026

The Badgers and Terrapins meet Saturday, Nov. 14, in College Park with very different momentum. The Badgers (6-3, 4-2 Big Ten) just won 31-10 behind freshman quarterback Ryan Hopkins, and the Terrapins (3-6, 1-5) are chasing a second straight conference win under interim coach Aazaar Abdul-Rahim.

Hopkins threw for 241 yards and three touchdowns in his first start, a week after the Badgers lost 30-0 to the Hawkeyes. The Terrapins beat the Boilermakers 34-29 to end a six-game losing streak and a 13-game skid in Big Ten play.

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When is Badgers vs Terrapins?

• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Kickoff: 12:00 p.m. ET
• Competition: College football
• Home team: Terrapins
• Badgers win: 77%
• Terrapins win: 27%

What is the Badgers vs Terrapins prediction?

The Badgers are favorites at 77%, with the Terrapins at 27%, according to OG.com prediction markets. Market data as of November 11, 2026. For the latest market probabilities, check the OG.com platform.

The case for the Badgers starts with a defense that allows 16.3 points and 101 rushing yards per game, tied for 15th and 19th nationally in ESPN's team statistics. The Terrapins rank 106th in rushing at 130 yards per game and allow 31.3 points, 118th, so a game built on defense and field position fits the season-long numbers.

The Badgers' offense is the weaker side of that picture. It averages 24.4 points on 323 yards per game, 121st nationally, and Hopkins' debut came against a Scarlet Knights defense that entered the game 123rd in total defense, according to Sports Illustrated.

The Terrapins have a credible route. They average 27.7 points and have forced a takeaway in every Big Ten game this season, according to the school. Against the Boilermakers they showed they can score in bursts, with 282 yards in the second half after 108 in the first.

Badgers vs Terrapins win probabilities

• Badgers win: 77%
• Terrapins win: 27%

A 77% price puts the Badgers well clear, yet 27% for the Terrapins reflects a team that overcame a nine-point deficit on the road last week, according to the school's game notes. Each number is an implied probability from market prices, and prices can change as traders react to news. Check the contract terms for how overtime is handled.

How could Badgers vs Terrapins unfold?

The game likely turns on whether the Badgers can play from ahead. Three game states show the range.

How do the Badgers build an early lead?

If the Badgers score first, they can lean on running backs Abu Sama III and Darrion Dupree, who coach Luke Fickell said this week need more touches. A lead keeps Hopkins in manageable down-and-distance situations and puts pressure on a Terrapins offense that averages 130 rushing yards.

Where are the Badgers vulnerable?

The passing game gives opponents a way back. The Badgers average 187 passing yards per game, 114th nationally, and threw for 66 yards in the 17-7 loss to the Bruins while allowing 264.

The Terrapins have the receiver to exploit that. Chris Durr Jr. has 62 catches for 765 yards, and the Badgers' defense, with seven interceptions, can answer a quarterback in Malik Washington who has thrown eight.

What happens if the Terrapins score first?

A Terrapins lead narrows the Badgers' options. In the 30-0 loss to the Hawkeyes, the Badgers ran for 52 yards and committed three turnovers, and Hopkins would have to carry the offense against a defense that allows 227 passing yards per game. Fickell has said senior Colton Joseph, who has 371 rushing yards this season, could still play in some role.

What is the latest team news?

Quarterback health and roles lead the news on both sidelines, and neither team has listed injury designations for Saturday.

What is the latest on the Badgers?

Fickell confirmed Monday that Hopkins starts at quarterback, adding that Joseph could still be used in some capacity. Joseph was benched late in the 30-0 loss to the Hawkeyes after three straight games under 100 passing yards. Before the Scarlet Knights game, Fickell said Joseph was "up and ready to roll."

Tackle Kevin Heywood is out for the season, according to the AP, so Hopkins again works behind a line without him.

What is the latest on the Terrapins?

Washington wore a brace on his left knee through the second half against the Boilermakers and still finished 13 of 18 for 253 yards, according to the AP. His availability for Saturday has not been confirmed.

Tight end Preston Howard has played through shoulder injuries, according to Sports Illustrated. Defensive back Dontay Joyner was ejected 96 seconds into the game against the Boilermakers for a flagrant personal foul, and his availability for Saturday is unconfirmed.

What could decide Badgers vs Terrapins?

Three matchups carry the most weight.

Can the Badgers' run defense contain DeJuan Williams?

Williams has 437 rushing yards and five touchdowns on 71 carries, about 6.2 yards per carry, and he broke a 75-yard run against the Boilermakers. The Hawkeyes' 140 rushing yards on Oct. 31 are the most the Badgers have allowed in their last five games, so one breakaway run could change the game state.

Can Hopkins repeat his debut on the road?

Hopkins completed 18 of 24 passes for 241 yards, including a 66-yard touchdown to Jacob Harris. The Terrapins allow 227 passing yards per game, and Sports Illustrated lists cornerback Jamare Glasker with a 44.9% reception rate allowed on 49 targets.

Hopkins also meets a front that produced seven sacks against the Boilermakers, which makes his poise in a hostile building a real test.

Can the Terrapins' pass rush and takeaways tilt the game?

Freshman edge Zion Elee had 2.5 of those seven sacks and leads the team with six this season. The Badgers have been sacked only 12 times, tied for 29th nationally, so the rush meets a protected passer.

The Badgers' ball security gives the Terrapins another opening, since they committed three turnovers against the Hawkeyes and one against the Scarlet Knights.

What does the Badgers vs Terrapins head-to-head history show?

This is the sixth meeting between the programs and the first in College Park since 2015, according to the school. The Terrapins won last season's game 27-10 in Madison, with Washington throwing for 265 yards and two touchdowns and adding a rushing score.

The Terrapins have a new interim head coach since Mike Locksley left on Oct. 21, and the Badgers start a freshman quarterback with one career start, so last season's score carries limited weight.

What could move Badgers vs Terrapins market price?

Quarterback usage tops the list. Fickell's comment that Joseph could play some role keeps a change in how the Badgers score on the table, and a clearer plan later this week would shift expectations for their offense.

Washington's knee is the Terrapins' equivalent. Confirmation that he is healthy would support the offense that scored 34 points last week, while any limit on his mobility would hit a run game that ranks 106th.

Traders in sports prediction markets can see prices move quickly after quarterback news, and a limit order sets the price at which a trade fills. Other games on Saturday's slate are listed in the daily sports prediction markets schedule.

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