Washington Huskies at Michigan State Spartans prediction, start time and team news on Nov. 14, 2026
The Huskies are favorites at 62% and the Spartans are at 39%, according to market data. Washington's passing game meets a Michigan State team built to shorten the game, and Demond Williams Jr.'s status is still open.
Football
By George Karmpoulonis

Saturday's Huskies at Spartans game at Spartan Stadium pairs two teams with losing Big Ten records. Washington is 5-4 overall and 2-4 in the conference after a 28-25 loss to Penn State, a game it trailed 28-6 before scoring 19 straight points. Michigan State is 3-6 and 1-5 after beating Michigan 15-6 on Nov. 7.
That win ended a six-game losing streak, and all 15 Spartans points came from Liam Boyd field goals. Washington arrives with the 27th-ranked passing offense in the FBS, the 131st-ranked rushing offense and a starting quarterback listed as questionable.
This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
When is Huskies vs Spartans?
- Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
- Kickoff: 4:15 p.m. ET
- Competition: College football
- Home team: Spartans
- Huskies win: 62%
- Spartans win: 39%
What is the Huskies vs Spartans prediction?
The Huskies are favorites at 62%, with the Spartans at 39%, according to market data. Market data as of November 12, 2026. For the latest market probabilities, check the OG.com platform.
These implied probabilities reflect the market's expectations, not guaranteed outcomes. Prediction market prices can change as traders react to new information.
Washington's case runs through the air. Chris Lawson has 49 catches for 727 yards, and the Huskies average 265 passing yards per game against a Michigan State defense that allows 194. Spartans safety Devin Vaught, the team's leading tackler with 55, is listed out, which thins the back end Lawson will work against.
Michigan State's case is a short, low-scoring game. The Spartans held the ball for 38:07 at Michigan, converted 9 of 20 third downs and let Boyd kick five field goals. That formula leaves little margin because Michigan State averages 19.3 points per game, tied for 127th in the FBS.
The Huskies have the better route to points, and the Spartans have the better route to a slow game. Demond Williams Jr.'s health and Washington's third-down play will likely decide which one holds.
Huskies vs Spartans win probabilities
- Huskies win: 62%
- Spartans win: 39%
Washington leads by 23 percentage points. The Spartans remain at 39% after a game in which they forced four turnovers and recorded five sacks.
How could Huskies vs Spartans unfold?
The first quarter will show which team sets the terms. Two game states frame the afternoon.
What happens if Washington scores first?
Michigan State's offense is not built to chase. It ranks 118th in the FBS in passing yards per game (182) and 126th in rushing (110), and its top three running backs are out or doubtful. An early Washington lead forces the Spartans to throw more than they want to.
The risk for the Huskies is ball security. Washington has thrown seven interceptions this season, four by Williams. Michigan State has forced six turnovers in its last two games after forcing three in its first seven.
What happens if Michigan State controls the clock?
The Spartans' best series at Michigan was a 17-play, 79-yard drive that ended in a field goal, according to Fanrecap. A drive like that keeps Lawson and Dezmen Roebuck on the sideline.
Washington has struggled to answer on the ground. Its 99 rushing yards per game rank 131st in the FBS, and its 33.3% third-down rate ranks 119th. The Huskies converted 4 of 12 third downs against Penn State and 1 of 12 at USC on Oct. 3.
What is the latest team news?
Both teams have unresolved questions at quarterback or running back, and the Big Ten availability reports released Wednesday night list several players as questionable.
What is the latest on the Huskies?
Williams, who has passed for 1,667 yards and 11 touchdowns this season, is listed as questionable. Coach Jedd Fisch said Monday that Williams was healthy and that he planned to start him, and Fisch is scheduled to speak with reporters Thursday afternoon, according to Sports Illustrated.
Williams missed the Purdue game and most of the Nebraska game with a rib injury. If he cannot go, Elijah Brown would start for the third time this season. Brown threw for 302 yards and three touchdowns, with three interceptions, in the 38-26 win at Purdue.
Running back Trey Cooley, who left the Penn State game with a concussion, is doubtful. Safety Alex McLaughlin, defensive tackle Elinneus Davis and edge rushers Devin Hyde, Isaiah Ward and Logan George are questionable.
What is the latest on the Spartans?
Quarterback Alessio Milivojevic is not on the report after returning for the Michigan game, where he completed 21 of 32 passes for 188 yards without a turnover. Running back Jaziun Patterson, the team's leading rusher with 327 yards, moved from out to doubtful, according to the Detroit Free Press. Running backs Marvis Parrish and Cam Edwards, tight end Jayden Savoury and wide receiver Rodney Bullard Jr. are out.
Defensive tackle Ben Roberts, the team's highest-graded defender by Pro Football Focus, is questionable after missing the Michigan game. Cornerbacks Tre Bell and Charles Brantley and backup quarterback Cam Fancher are also questionable. Vaught is out.
What could decide Huskies vs Spartans?
Three matchups stand out, and each involves a unit that has been inconsistent this season.
Can Washington's passing game offset its run problems?
Lawson had 12 catches for 155 yards at Nebraska and 5 for 89 against Penn State. Washington can win through the air if Williams or Brown has time, but the Huskies have been sacked 27 times, tied for 123rd in the FBS. Michigan State had five sacks against Michigan, so protection is the first pressure point.
Can Michigan State score enough?
The Spartans average 19.3 points per game and scored no touchdowns at Michigan. Brandon Tullis ran 25 times for 86 yards in that game, and Boyd has made 16 field goals this season, tied for third in the Big Ten. If Patterson is limited, Tullis again carries the run game and Boyd's range keeps field goals in play.
Which defense wins the turnover battle?
Washington has 12 interceptions, and safeties McLaughlin and Rylon Dillard-Allen have three each. Michigan State has four interceptions, but cornerback NiJhay Burt's interception and forced fumble helped produce four turnovers against Michigan. A repeat would cancel much of Washington's passing edge.
What does the Huskies vs Spartans head-to-head history show?
Washington leads the series 4-1, including a 41-7 win in East Lansing in 2023, the last meeting. This is the first meeting between the schools as Big Ten members.
Both rosters and staffs have changed since 2023, with Pat Fitzgerald in his first season at Michigan State and Fisch in his third at Washington. Neither coach has faced the other's program.
What could move Huskies vs Spartans market price?
The biggest swing factor is Williams. A confirmed start keeps the quarterback who has led Washington's offense this season, while a switch to Brown puts a quarterback with one 302-yard game at Purdue in charge.
Other developments include Cooley's concussion status, McLaughlin's availability at safety, Patterson's status after moving to doubtful and whether Roberts returns on the Spartans' defensive line. Later availability reports will update each of those.
Other college football games on the Saturday slate appear on the daily sports prediction markets list, and quarterback and availability news can move sports prediction markets before kickoff.
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