Game of the year 2026 predictions: Who could take the top prize?

The OG.com Video Game of the Year 2026 market currently displays Crimson Desert and Fable at 99%, followed by Grand Theft Auto VI at 94% and Slay the Spire 2 at 90%. The market also lists Marvel’s Wolverine and Resident Evil Requiem among its outcomes. These figures can change as trading activity and new information come in.

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

What are the latest game of the year 2026 predictions?

Market data as of October 21, 2026. For the latest market-implied probability, check OG.com.

The OG.com Game of the Year 2026 market displays Crimson Desert and Fable at 99%, followed by Grand Theft Auto VI at 94% and Slay the Spire 2 at 90%. Slay the Spire 2 is available in Early Access, and The Game Awards’ rules allow publicly available early-access games to be eligible. These market figures can change as new info and trading activity come in.

The figures are a snapshot of what the page displayed when checked, not a confirmed list of nominees. For a quick primer, see OG.com’s guides to how prediction markets work and how culture prediction markets work.

Game of the year 2026 contenders

The market gives us a useful view of current interest, while release dates and reception add context. The Game Awards hasn’t announced its nominees yet; the official site says they’re coming in mid-November.

1) Crimson Desert

Crimson Desert tops the market page alongside Fable, at 99%. Pearl Abyss’s sprawling action-adventure drew attention for its scale and ambitious systems, though critical reception was mixed. Reviewers praised its world and combat while pointing to uneven story and design. That split could shape its awards momentum as voting approaches.

2) Fable

Fable’s 99% market figure puts it level with Crimson Desert in our prediction market. There’s plenty for fans of the series to get curious about: Playground Games is building a new Albion, with a fresh story, the franchise’s signature British humor and choices that shape how people see your hero.

Its “Living Population” is designed to give the world a personal feel, with individual characters who have their own traits, homes and routines. Your actions can affect their opinions of you – and even ripple out into the wider community. That mix of fairytale adventure, mischief and consequences gives Fable a distinctive identity in a crowded field.

3) Grand Theft Auto VI

Grand Theft Auto VI is listed at 94%, with a release scheduled for November 19 on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S. That puts the launch close to The Game Awards’ November 20 eligibility cutoff. If the date holds and the game is commercially available by the deadline, its scale and cultural profile could make it one of the year’s most closely watched contenders.

4) Slay the Spire 2

At 90%, Slay the Spire 2 is another major name on the market page – and its card-battling formula has plenty of room to keep runs feeling fresh.

Players climb the ever-changing Spire, building strategies from cards, relics and potions while facing new dangers along the way. There are five playable characters, including two newcomers, and a co-op mode for up to four players adds a new way to tackle the climb together.

The game is in Early Access, so its content and balance are still developing. That status doesn’t make it ineligible: The Game Awards says any game available to the public by the deadline can be considered, with the jury deciding whether it merits a nomination.

5) Marvel’s Wolverine

Marvel’s Wolverine is another released title on the market page. It launched on PS5 on September 15, and its displayed figure is 22%. Its recognizable character and action focus give it a clear audience, but the award race will also depend on how the jury responds to the finished game.

What could decide the game of the year winner?

The final stretch of releases is a major variable. A game that launches close to the cutoff has less time to build a critical consensus, while titles already in players’ hands have had longer to establish their strengths and weaknesses.

The Game Awards’ jury selects nominees. For most categories, the winner is then decided by a blended vote: 90% jury and 10% public fan voting. The jury’s assessment carries most of the weight, so fan enthusiasm alone won’t determine the winner.

Reception can also change as games are patched, reviewed and played by a wider audience. Market prices may move with that news, but the award result is settled by the official announcement.

How to trade game of the year predictions on OG.com

OG.com’s market lets eligible traders take a position on whether a listed game will win. Before opening a position, review the market price, rules, fees and settlement details. Prices can change, and trading involves risk.

• Create an account: Complete sign-up and identity verification.
• Browse markets: Find the Game of the Year 2026 market.
• Review the contract: Check the outcome, price, fees and settlement rules.
• Monitor the market: Prices can move as releases, reviews and award news arrive.

You can also read OG.com’s guide on how to trade prediction markets. 

Availability varies by location.

FAQs about game of the year predictions

What are the leading game of the year 2026 predictions?

The OG.com page currently displays Crimson Desert and Fable at 99%, Grand Theft Auto VI at 94% and Slay the Spire 2 at 90%. These are market figures, not confirmed nominees, and they can change. 

Which games are expected to be nominated for game of the year?

No nominees have been announced yet. The games in this article are market-listed names to watch, not confirmed nominees. 

Who chooses the game of the year winner?

An international jury of more than 100 media and influencer outlets selects nominees for most categories. The winner is decided by a blended vote: 90% jury and 10% public fan voting.

When are the game of the year nominees announced?

The Game Awards says its 2026 nominees are coming around mid-November.

When will the game of the year winner be announced?

The Game Awards 2026 takes place on December 10, 2026. The winner is announced during the ceremony.

What makes a game eligible for game of the year?

The game must be commercially available to customers on or before November 20, 2026, at 9 p.m. PT. Early-access games can be eligible if they’re publicly available by the deadline.

Can you trade game of the year predictions on OG.com?

OG.com lists a Game of the Year 2026 market. Availability depends on location. Check the market’s current outcomes and settlement rules before trading.

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