Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals prediction, start time and team news on Nov. 15, 2026

The Steelers and Bengals meet on Sunday Night Football in Week 10, with first place in the AFC North on the line. Both teams are 6-2 and riding four-game winning streaks, and the Steelers won the first meeting 30-27 in Week 3.

Joe Burrow leads an offense that scores 30.0 points a game, second in the NFL, against a Steelers defense that ranks third against the run. The Steelers come off a bye week, while the Bengals landed back home before dawn on Monday after a 34-17 win over the Falcons in Madrid.

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

When is Steelers vs Bengals?

• Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
• Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
• Competition: NFL, Week 10
• Home team: Bengals
• Steelers win: 37%
• Bengals win: 64%

What is the Steelers vs Bengals prediction?

The Bengals are favorites at 64%, with the Steelers at 37%, according to OG.com prediction markets. Market data as of November 12, 2026. For the latest market probabilities, check the OG.com platform.

The case for the Bengals starts with the passing game. They lead the NFL in passing yards per game (286) and third-down conversion rate (53.6%), and they scored 143 points during their four-game winning streak. Burrow has 23 touchdown passes against six interceptions, and in Madrid he completed 24 of 29 passes for 271 yards.

The Steelers' route to a second win runs through the ground and the defense. They allow 18.0 points a game (tied for fourth) and 84 rushing yards a game (third). Jaylen Warren has run for 100 or more yards in three of the Steelers' last four games, including 143 against the Browns on Nov. 1. That formula shortens the game, and a shorter game gives the Bengals fewer possessions to use their passing edge.

Pressure against protection tips the balance. The Steelers had one sack in the first meeting and 18 in their next five games, while the Bengals' line has allowed 15 sacks in eight games. If Burrow keeps beating pressure with quick throws, the Bengals' edge holds. If the Steelers get him off schedule, they have the turnover profile to convert it into points, with 13 takeaways and a plus-5 turnover margin.

Steelers vs Bengals win probabilities

• Steelers win: 37%
• Bengals win: 64%

Prediction market prices reflect implied probabilities, and the 27-point gap makes the Bengals clear favorites. The Steelers won in September, and their 37% is a little better than one chance in three. These percentages reflect the market's expectations, not guaranteed outcomes, and prices can change as traders react to Thursday and Friday injury reports.

How could Steelers vs Bengals unfold?

The Bengals have scored at least 31 points in each of their four wins since Week 4 (31, 35, 43 and 34). The Steelers needed 30 points to beat them in Week 3, so the Steelers' offense, which averages 22.5 points a game, has to find a higher gear than its recent wins required.

A fast Bengals start would test the Steelers' run-heavy plan. Aaron Rodgers has 1,871 passing yards and 13 touchdowns, but the Steelers average only 210 passing yards a game. Trailing, they would lean on DK Metcalf (378 receiving yards) and rookie Germie Bernard (32 catches for 284 yards).

An early Steelers lead does not shut the Bengals down. They rank 30th in rushing at 86 yards a game, yet they gained 437 yards against the Jaguars in Week 4 with 23 rushing yards. That game was a 22-17 loss in which Burrow threw two interceptions, and it shows how turnovers, not yardage, have cost the Bengals.

What is the latest team news?

Both teams released Wednesday injury reports without final game designations, so availability stays open until Friday's reports.

What is the latest on the Steelers?

T.J. Watt, Cameron Heyward and Darnell Washington were listed as rest days on Wednesday. Safety DeShon Elliott (ankle) practiced on a limited basis, while cornerback Brandin Echols (hamstring), defensive back Doneiko Slaughter (hamstring) and wide receiver Ben Skowronek (calf) were full participants.

Defensive tackle Derrick Harmon, who made the Week 3 strip-sack, returned to practice on Wednesday and remains on injured reserve with a 21-day window to be activated. Receiver Michael Pittman Jr. is also eligible to return, and coach Mike McCarthy said Monday, "I think Michael is getting close." Rodgers is not on the injury report.

What is the latest on the Bengals?

The Bengals held a walkthrough on Wednesday, so their report estimates participation. Safety Kyle Dugger (quadriceps) and defensive tackle Jonathan Allen (rest) did not participate, while guard Dylan Fairchild (pectoral) and cornerback DJ Turner II (ankle) were limited. Coach Zac Taylor called Fairchild day-to-day.

Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins are not on the report. Edge rusher Cashius Howell, fourth on the team in pressures before wrist surgery, is on injured reserve with no set return date.

What could decide Steelers vs Bengals?

The Steelers and Bengals were separated by a field goal in September, and three matchups look most likely to settle the rematch.

Can the Steelers get to Burrow early enough?

The Steelers sacked Burrow once in Week 3, on the strip-sack that ended the game. Since then they have 18 sacks in five games, including eight against the Browns on Nov. 1, and Watt leads the team with 7.5.

Burrow has been sacked six times in the Bengals' last four games (0, 1, 3 and 2). Watt and Heyward sat out Wednesday's practice for rest, so their Friday participation is worth watching.

Can Jaylen Warren shorten the game on the ground?

The Bengals allow 127 rushing yards a game (25th in the NFL) and gave up 158 to the Titans and 157 to the Falcons in their last two games.

Warren ran for 127 yards on 17 carries in Week 3, and an 87-yard run was called back by a holding penalty on Metcalf.

Who wins the third-down and turnover battles?

The Bengals' offense converts third downs better than anyone in the NFL (53.6%), and the Steelers' defense allows 34.3% (seventh). The Steelers' offense converts 37.9%, but the Bengals' defense allows 47.5% (30th), which gives the Steelers a way to extend drives.

On turnovers, the Steelers have 13 takeaways, while Burrow threw five interceptions across the Jaguars and Titans games. Rodgers has six interceptions of his own.

What does the Steelers vs Bengals head-to-head history show?

The Steelers won 30-27 at Acrisure Stadium on Sept. 27, the first AFC North game under McCarthy. Rodgers threw for 292 yards and three touchdowns, and Burrow threw for 282 yards and three touchdowns without an interception before Harmon's strip-sack with 44 seconds left.

The Associated Press noted that a muffed punt and a roughing-the-punter penalty helped the Steelers in that game. The coaches and quarterbacks are the same, Rodgers is 2-0 against Burrow, and Harmon is not yet active.

What could move Steelers vs Bengals prediction?

Friday's injury reports carry the most weight. Watt, Heyward and Washington need to practice, Elliott, Dugger, Fairchild and Turner need to move from limited or no participation, and the Steelers must decide on Harmon's activation.

The Steelers and Bengals share the Sunday board with other Week 10 games in the daily sports prediction markets, and traders following sports prediction markets can track these designations as they arrive.

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