Sevilla vs Alavés prediction, team news and lineups on Nov. 6, 2026

The Sevilla vs Alavés game opens La Liga Matchweek 12 on Friday, Nov. 6 at Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán. Sevilla sit sixth with 17 points after 11 games, five clear of 10th-place Alavés, who are winless in five league games.

Both clubs arrive after heavy defeats. Sevilla lost 3-1 at Getafe on Sunday, and Alavés lost 6-1 at Barcelona on Saturday. Friday's game asks which side can rebuild its shape fastest.

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

When is Sevilla vs Alavés?

• Date: Friday, November 6, 2026
• Kickoff: 9:00 p.m. CET / 3:00 p.m. ET
• Competition: La Liga, Matchweek 12
• Sevilla win: 50%
• Draw: 28%
• Alavés win: 23%

Alavés visit Anaitasuna in the Copa del Rey first round on Tuesday, Nov. 3, so their lineup for Friday may depend on who plays and who gets rest. The daily sports prediction markets schedule lists the other games on the board.

What is the Sevilla vs Alavés prediction?

Sevilla are favorites at 50%, with the draw at 28% and Alavés at 23%, according to market data as of 1 Nov 2026. For the latest probabilities, check OG.com.

These implied probabilities reflect the market's expectations, not guaranteed outcomes, and prices can change as traders react to new information. The winner contract in these sports prediction markets settles on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, so extra time and penalty shootouts do not count.

Sevilla's best argument sits in the final third. They scored eight league goals in their last five games, with Isaac Romero and Felix Correia each scoring twice, and Alavés conceded 11 in the same stretch. Sevilla started in a 4-4-2 at Getafe, which sends two strikers at the center backs Nahuel Tenaglia and Ville Koski.

Alavés have a route of their own. Three of their four league goals in the last five games came after the 83rd minute, through Mariano Díaz, Hugo Novoa and Aitor Mañas, and they outshot Celta Vigo 20-6 and Málaga 18-7 without winning either game. Sevilla conceded 13 goals in their last five, so a patient Alavés side could still find a late opening.

The reading changes with Sevilla's absences and Alavés' shape. The decisive matchup is Sevilla's front pair against an Alavés back line that has not settled on a system.

Sevilla vs Alavés win probabilities

• Sevilla win – 50%
• Draw – 28%
• Alavés win – 23%

Sevilla are favorites, but half of the market's weight sits on the other two outcomes. A draw is more likely than an Alavés win, which fits a visiting team that has taken two points from its last five league games and still produces shots.

What is the latest Sevilla team news?

Sevilla go into the game thin after a red card and injuries. Manu Bueno will miss the match after his dismissal at Getafe for a foul as the last man, according to Diario de Sevilla. Estadio Deportivo adds that Bueno had been moving up Luis García Plaza's midfield rotation.

Marcão (thigh) and Miguel Sierra (collarbone) are injured. Isaac Romero left Sunday's game in the first half with a left knee ligament knock and will have tests in Seville, and Estadio Deportivo expects him to join them on the injury list. Youssouf Fofana, substituted in the 72nd minute with waist discomfort, is also a doubt.

García Plaza used a 4-4-2 at Getafe, and Kike Salas played through a head knock late in that game. The back line conceded three goals there, one after a VAR check overturned an assistant's flag for a foul on Bueno, so Sevilla's defenders need a cleaner week.

What is the latest Alavés team news?

Alavés have two long-term absentees, center back Facundo Garcés and Mikel Rodríguez, who both tore anterior cruciate ligaments. Manager Quique Sánchez Flores has no other confirmed absentee ahead of Friday.

Sánchez Flores abandoned his usual back five for a 4-2-3-1 at Barcelona, according to AS, and the high line was exposed in a 4-0 halftime deficit. He said afterward that his team was not hard or forceful enough, so Friday's shape is the open question.

The Copa del Rey trip to Anaitasuna comes first, and Sánchez Flores can use it to test starters such as Ander Guevara and Carlos Protesoni, who joined the lineup at Barcelona. The projected XI below follows that Barcelona lineup.

How could Sevilla line up?

Sevilla are likely to line up in a 4-4-2, assuming Isaac Romero and Youssouf Fofana are available:

• Goalkeeper: Odysseas Vlachodimos
• Right back: Juan Iglesias
• Right center back: Andrés Castrín
• Left center back: Kike Salas
• Left back: Gabriel Suazo
• Right center midfield: Lucien Agoumé
• Left center midfield: Youssouf Fofana
• Right wing: Chidera Ejuke
• Left wing: Felix Correia
• Right striker: Lucas Stassin
• Left striker: Isaac Romero

How could Alavés line up?

Alavés are likely to line up in a 4-2-3-1:

• Goalkeeper: Antonio Sivera
• Right back: Jonny
• Right center back: Nahuel Tenaglia
• Left center back: Ville Koski
• Left back: Youssef Lekhedim
• Right center midfield: Carlos Protesoni
• Left center midfield: Denis Suárez
• No. 10: Ander Guevara
• Right wing: Ángel Pérez
• Left wing: Abde Rebbach
• Striker: Lucas Boyé
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What could decide Sevilla vs Alavés?

Five questions shape the game: how Sevilla attack, how Alavés defend, who fills the gaps and how the week of games is spent.

Can Sevilla's front pair beat Alavés' defensive shape?

Stassin and Romero started together at Getafe, where Salas scored Sevilla's only goal. Sevilla outshot Osasuna 17-10 and put seven shots on target to two on Oct. 26, which shows how much room they find when the opponent defends deep. If Alavés return to a back five, the wide midfielders Ejuke and Correia face wingbacks with cover behind them.

Can Alavés turn late pressure into points?

Alavés scored in the 84th, 87th and 89th minutes in three of their last four games in which they scored. In all three they were already trailing, which suggests that chasing a game suits them better than leading one. A first-half Sevilla goal at the Sánchez-Pizjuán would test that pattern.

Who covers Manu Bueno's absence?

Giorgi Kochorashvili, Rubén Vargas and Julio Díaz all came off the bench at Getafe, so García Plaza has options in midfield. Agoumé and Fofana remain the starting pair, and the cover matters most if one of them tires or is booked early. Romero's knee and Fofana's waist problem are the larger gaps.

Will Alavés keep the 4-2-3-1?

The 4-2-3-1 gave Alavés a spare midfielder at Barcelona but left space behind a high line, and Barcelona scored four times before halftime. If Sánchez Flores returns to three center backs, Tenaglia and Koski gain a partner and Sevilla's strikers face a more crowded box. A repeat of the Barcelona setup would give Sevilla the same space in behind.

Which team handles the schedule better?

Sevilla had five days between Getafe and this game with no midweek fixture. Alavés play at Anaitasuna on Nov. 3, which leaves three days before Friday. The tie is a first-round game against a lower-division side, so rotation is possible, and the starters' minutes will show up in the Friday lineup.

What does the Sevilla vs Alavés head-to-head history show?

Sevilla and Alavés drew 1-1 at the Sánchez-Pizjuán on Feb. 14, 2026, when Sevilla played from the 16th minute with 10 men after Juanlu Sánchez's second yellow card. Alavés also won 1-0 at Mendizorrotza in the Copa del Rey on Dec. 17, 2025 through a 79th-minute Carlos Vicente penalty.

What could move Sevilla vs Alavés prediction before kickoff?

Confirmed lineups usually arrive about an hour before the match, and they will show whether Sevilla keep a 4-4-2 and whether Isaac Romero and Youssouf Fofana start.

The fitness of Romero and Fofana, any formal confirmation of Manu Bueno's ban, the shape Alavés choose and the Copa result on Nov. 3 are the main details to watch. A new injury at Anaitasuna would change Alavés' selection.

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