New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers prediction, team news and lineups on Nov. 13, 2026

The Knicks at Pacers game on Friday, November 13, 2026, pairs a team that has won six of seven since an 0-3 start with one that has lost eight of its first 11. The Knicks arrive on a four-game winning streak, and the Pacers are 0-4 at home.

Two storylines frame the night. The Knicks have outrebounded every opponent in their last five games, while the Pacers are missing Haliburton and still scoring enough to keep games close.

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

When is Knicks at Pacers?

• Date: Friday, November 13, 2026
• Tip-off: 7 p.m. ET
• Competition: NBA, 2026–27 regular season
• Home team: Pacers
• Knicks win: 73%
• Pacers win: 30%

What is the Knicks at Pacers prediction?

The Knicks are favorites at 73%, with the Pacers at 30%. Market data as of November 11, 2026. For the latest market probabilities, check the OG.com platform.

The Knicks' case starts on the glass. The Knicks have outrebounded all five of their latest opponents, and the Pacers have been outrebounded in all five of theirs. That gap gives the Knicks extra chances after misses, which is the clearest route to a comfortable win.

The Pacers' route runs through their offense. The Pacers lost 122-125 at Dallas on Monday despite 16 fewer rebounds, because Pascal Siakam scored 26 first-half points and the team produced 35 assists. If that kind of shot-making holds for four quarters, the rebounding gap becomes easier to survive.

The Pacers also need to protect leads. They led the Mavericks 66-56 at halftime and were outscored 35-29 in the fourth quarter, with Siakam scoring only three of his 29 points after the break.

Knicks at Pacers win probabilities

• Knicks win: 73%
• Pacers win: 30%

These percentages are implied probabilities, the market's expectation for each outcome, not a guarantee. The 43-point gap reflects a Knicks team with the better record and recent form, while the 30% for the Pacers leaves room for a home team that lost its two most recent home games by eight and four points.

How could Knicks at Pacers unfold?

The Knicks have found their rhythm from the perimeter. They made 17 three-pointers in three of their last five games, and they are 78 for 213 (36.6%) from deep across the last five. The Pacers have allowed opponents to shoot 35.9% on threes this season, so the Knicks' spacing around Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns could stretch the Pacers' defense.

The Pacers' counter is tempo. They outscored opponents 66-48 on fast breaks over their last five games, including 21 against Denver and 19 at Memphis. The Knicks scored only four fast-break points against Milwaukee while giving up 13, so early offense is one place the Pacers can find easy points without Haliburton running the show.

Shooting from three is the other swing. The Pacers made 63 of 189 (33.3%) from deep over the same five games, and they will need a few more makes to keep up with the Knicks' volume.

What is the latest team news?

Both teams arrive with rotation questions, and the Pacers' list is longer. The Knicks' main uncertainty is a starting wing, while the Pacers are managing a thin backcourt.

What is the latest on the Knicks?

Josh Hart missed the Knicks' last three games, two with right ankle soreness and the Bucks game with an illness. Coach Mike Brown said before Tuesday's game that Hart would have played if he had not been sick, according to a video posted by SNY.

Landry Shamet has started in Hart's place. No other Knicks player appears on the current injury list, and no starter played more than 28 minutes in the 117-85 win over Milwaukee on Tuesday.

What is the latest on the Pacers?

Haliburton is out with a left hamstring strain and has missed at least seven straight games. Coach Rick Carlisle said last weekend that his timetable is uncertain. Haliburton returned this season from the torn right Achilles that cost him all of 2025-26 and played four games before the injury.

Ben Sheppard is out for months after surgery to repair a torn meniscus in his left knee, and Johnny Furphy is out with a knee injury. T.J. McConnell is day-to-day with a right hamstring strain after returning from a nine-game absence on November 7.

What are the projected starting lineups?

The Knicks' group has been stable around one wing spot, while the Pacers have changed their starting guard and center combinations through the injury run.

How could the Knicks line up?

Projected starting five:

• Jalen Brunson
• Landry Shamet
• Mikal Bridges
• OG Anunoby
• Karl-Anthony Towns

This projection assumes Hart is not cleared; he is the likely alternative to Shamet if he returns. Tyler Kolek, Deuce McBride and Andre Drummond are the main reserves, and Drummond grabbed 14 rebounds in 15 minutes against the Bucks.

How could the Pacers line up?

Projected starting five:

• Braden Smith
• Andrew Nembhard
• Aaron Nesmith
• Pascal Siakam
• Ivica Zubac

This projection follows the group that started at Dallas on Monday. Jay Huff, who started two games earlier this month, is the alternative at center, and McConnell would add ball handling off the bench if he is cleared.

What could decide Knicks at Pacers?

Three questions carry most of the analysis, and each ties to a number from recent games.

Can the Knicks keep winning the rebounding battle?

The Knicks outrebounded opponents 253-183 across their last five games, a margin of 14 per game. Towns had 16 rebounds against Milwaukee, and the Knicks finished with a 59-32 edge on the boards.

The Pacers went the other way, getting outrebounded 234-191 in the same stretch. They average 40.7 rebounds per game and allow 47.5, so a repeat of the Dallas deficit (27-43) would hand the Knicks a steady supply of second chances.

Can Pascal Siakam and Andrew Nembhard carry the Pacers' offense without Haliburton?

Siakam averages 22.2 points and Nembhard averages 17.1 points and 7.6 assists this season. Both have been the steadiest scorers in the Pacers' recent games, with Siakam at 29 in Dallas and Nembhard at 22 in Memphis.

The Knicks can load up on the pair, so the Pacers need production from Aaron Nesmith, Obi Toppin and Braden Smith to keep the offense from stalling. Toppin, who grabbed the final rebound against Dallas, is one of the reserves who can change the margin.

Can the Pacers close a game they lead?

Three of the Pacers' last four losses came by eight points or fewer. The Pacers are 0-4 at home and 3-8 overall, so late-game execution has cost them in the standings.

The Knicks have been winning without needing late scrambles, with a combined 557-475 scoring edge across their last five games. That record suggests the Knicks can build separation if the Pacers' offense goes cold for a quarter.

What could move Knicks at Pacers prediction?

Hart's status is the clearest pending decision. If he is cleared, Brown can restore his rebounding and perimeter defense to the starting group, with Shamet the likely player to move back to the bench.

On the Pacers' side, McConnell's hamstring is the question. A healthy McConnell gives Carlisle another ball handler behind Nembhard, and Haliburton's return date remains unannounced. Both teams play on Wednesday, November 11, which could bring updates before Friday.

Readers who want a wider view of the day can check the daily sports prediction markets for other games on the schedule, and those new to the category can start with how sports prediction markets work.

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