Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans prediction, start time and team news on Nov. 15, 2026
The Jaguars are favorites at 84%, with the Titans at 17%. The Jaguars' reworked interior defense meets Tony Pollard and a rested Titans offense.
Football
By George Karmpoulonis

The Jaguars visit the Titans at Nissan Stadium in Nashville on Sunday in Week 10, and the gap between the teams is wide. The Jaguars are 6-2 and lead the AFC South, with the league's second-best scoring defense at 15.1 points per game. The Titans are 1-7, have lost all four home games and average 18.0 points, 28th in the league.
The Jaguars spent Monday retooling the middle of their defense. A day before the NFL trade deadline, they added tackles Jordan Davis and Davon Godchaux and safety Jessie Bates III.
Coach Liam Coen said, "We got better today," after the first of those trades became official. The Titans return from their bye after a 43-36 overtime loss at the Bengals and will test that new interior with running back Tony Pollard.
This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
When is Jaguars vs Titans?
- Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
- Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Competition: NFL, Week 10
- Home team: Titans
- Jaguars win: 84%
- Titans win: 17%
What is the Jaguars vs Titans prediction?
The Jaguars are favorites at 84%, with the Titans at 17%. Market data as of November 10, 2026. For the latest market probabilities, check the OG.com platform.
These percentages are the market's expectations and guarantee nothing. Prediction market prices reflect implied probabilities and can change as traders react to new information.
The Jaguars' case starts with ball security. They lead the league in turnover margin at plus-nine, with 15 takeaways and six giveaways. The Titans have 12 giveaways and a minus-one margin, and their offense ranks 30th at 272 yards per game, so extra possessions for the Jaguars are hard for them to absorb.
Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has 18 touchdown passes against four interceptions and has not thrown one in his last two games. The Jaguars convert 46.4% of third downs, third in the league, against a Titans defense that allows 43.6% (25th) and 382 yards per game (31st).
The Titans' route to an upset runs through Pollard, who has 595 rushing yards this season and 246 yards with five touchdowns over his last two games. If the Jaguars' new tackles are still settling into the scheme, that run game gives the Titans their clearest way to keep this close.
Jaguars vs Titans win probabilities
- Jaguars win: 84%
- Titans win: 17%
The Jaguars' last two wins came by 35 and 23 points, which supports the 84% price. The Titans' 17% leaves room for a rested team, since four of their last five games were decided by eight points or fewer.
How could Jaguars vs Titans unfold?
This game turns on whether the Titans can run the ball against a defense that is still absorbing new pieces.
The Titans should build around Pollard. They gained 141 rushing yards against the Browns and 158 at the Bengals, and Coach Robert Saleh has said Pollard's running has helped open play-action for quarterback Cam Ward.
The Jaguars rank fifth against the run at 89 yards allowed per game, but their latest game raises a question. The Ravens gained 172 rushing yards on November 5, the most the Jaguars have allowed in their last five games. Of those, 65 came on one Justice Hill touchdown run after the Jaguars led 33-3. Nose tackle DaVon Hamilton's season-ending knee injury, suffered against the Colts on November 1, left the hole that Davis and Godchaux now have to fill.
Lawrence has been efficient and clean lately. He completed 10 of 14 passes for 210 yards and three touchdowns against the Colts, then 16 of 26 for 242 yards and a touchdown at the Ravens. The Titans allow 258 passing yards per game, 31st in the league, so receivers Parker Washington (493 yards, the team lead) and Jakobi Meyers should have openings.
The Titans' lone win, at the Colts on October 18, came on defense. They gained only 186 yards but won the turnover battle 3-1 and sacked the quarterback six times. That is the game state they need here, and it requires Ward, who has five interceptions this season, to protect the ball against a defense with 11 interceptions.
What is the latest team news?
Both teams carry changes through the middle of the field, and Wednesday's injury reports should settle several of them.
What is the latest on the Jaguars?
The Jaguars lost Hamilton and safety Eric Murray to season-ending injuries, which is why Davis, Godchaux and Bates arrived.
Running back Bhayshul Tuten (ankle and foot) and defensive end Travon Walker (rib) were hurt against the Colts, listed as questionable and played at the Ravens. Their status for Sunday has not been reported.
What is the latest on the Titans?
Saleh said Monday he would hold injury updates until Wednesday. Rookie receiver Carnell Tate (shoulder), the fourth overall pick, missed the Bengals game and is expected back after the bye, according to Paul Kuharsky. He leads the Titans with 34 catches for 413 yards.
Left guard Peter Skoronski (hamstring) and right tackle JC Latham (finger) left the Bengals game hurt, and both await Wednesday's update. Running back Tyjae Spears (knee) and punter Tommy Townsend (knee) were inactive that day.
Receiver Calvin Ridley was involved in an altercation with an airport valet last weekend, according to local reports. Saleh called it "a very minor miscommunication."
The Titans traded defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons to the Bears on October 29, and their one game since ended in a 43-36 overtime loss in which the Bengals gained 510 yards. They arrive with 14 days between games, while the Jaguars have had 10 days since Thursday night at the Ravens.
What could decide Jaguars vs Titans?
Three matchups look most likely to settle this game.
Can Pollard run through the Jaguars' new interior?
Pollard has 133 carries for 595 yards and six touchdowns, including 129 yards against the Browns and 117 at the Bengals. The Jaguars allow 89 rushing yards per game, fifth fewest in the league, but Davis and Godchaux joined on Monday and have one practice week to fit into the scheme.
Can Ward protect the ball against a defense that takes it away?
Ward has 1,483 passing yards, six touchdowns and five interceptions. The Jaguars have 11 interceptions, third in the league. Ward has been sacked 13 times, tied for fifth fewest, which gives him time against a Jaguars defense with 16 sacks, tied for 24th.
Can the Titans defense get off the field on third down?
The Titans have allowed 43.6% third-down conversions, and the Bengals converted 7 of 10 against them in their latest game. The Jaguars do not always finish drives. At the Ravens they went 2 of 4 in the red zone and 4 of 12 on third down, and still won by 23 because Cam Little kicked four field goals.
What could move Jaguars vs Titans prediction?
Three pending developments could change the outlook before Sunday:
- Titans offensive line: Skoronski and Latham are starters up front for a run game built around Pollard, and their statuses arrive Wednesday.
- Jaguars backfield and edge: Tuten and Walker both played through injuries last week, and their practice participation will show how healthy they are.
- New defenders: Coen's comments on how much Davis, Godchaux and Bates will play will show how quickly the Jaguars can reset their front.
Injury reports and lineup decisions drive sports prediction markets, and the other Sunday games sit in the daily sports prediction markets listings. The Titans' last game went to overtime, so check the contract terms to see how extra periods are handled.
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