Getafe vs Atlético Madrid prediction and lineups on Nov. 22, 2026

Getafe vs Atlético Madrid on Sunday, Nov. 22, 2026, pairs the team in 15th place in La Liga with the one in third. Atlético Madrid have 28 points from 12 games and Getafe have 12, a gap of 16 points.

The table leaves out Getafe's home form. They have won three and drawn three of their six league games at the Coliseum, so all six of their league defeats came away from home.

Atlético Madrid arrive after a 2-1 loss to Barcelona on Nov. 8 that ended a seven-game league winning streak.

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

When is Getafe vs Atlético Madrid?

• Date: Sunday, November 22, 2026
• Kickoff: 9:00 p.m. CET / 3:00 p.m. ET
• Competition: La Liga
• Getafe win: 17%
• Draw: 24%
• Atlético Madrid win: 61%

Other games on the same schedule appear in the daily sports prediction markets.

What is the Getafe vs Atlético Madrid prediction?

Atlético Madrid are the favorites at 61%, with the draw at 24% and Getafe at 17%, according to OG.com prediction markets. Market data as of November 10, 2026. For the latest market probabilities, check the OG.com platform.

Prediction market prices reflect implied probabilities, and they can change as traders react to new information. The draw is its own outcome in this market, so check the contract terms for settlement details.

Atlético Madrid's case starts with a league record of nine wins, one draw and two defeats from 12 games.

In their last five league games they conceded three goals, outshot opponents 81-72 and put 26 shots on target to their opponents' 18. Their goals have come late and from different players. Julián Álvarez scored the only goal against Deportivo in the 48th minute, and Álex Baena needed until the 89th minute to beat Espanyol 1-0.

Getafe's route runs through the Coliseum and a low block. Over their last five league games they averaged 32.2% possession and faced 89 shots, yet all four of their goals came in their two home games, against Rayo Vallecano and Sevilla. Martín Satriano scored twice in those games, Enes Ünal once, and Orel Mangala added a stoppage-time goal against Sevilla.

Two selection questions could change this reading. If Cristian Romero returns, Atlético Madrid get back a center back who started seven straight games before his injury. Zaid Romero would give Getafe a left-sided defender who has missed at least seven official games. The question most likely to decide the game is whether Getafe can limit the service from Alejandro Grimaldo, Baena and Giuliano Simeone while their forwards wait for one of a handful of chances.

Getafe vs Atlético Madrid win probabilities

• Atlético Madrid win – 61%
• Draw – 24%
• Getafe win – 17%

A 61% price for Atlético Madrid describes a side expected to hold the ball and create more chances. The 24% draw price leaves room for the game Getafe want, a tight one in which they defend deep and use their home games to take a goal. A Getafe win at 17% would likely come from converting a few chances, as in the 3-1 win over Sevilla, where Getafe had five shots on target to four.

What is the latest Getafe team news?

Getafe played a 4-1-4-1 at Villarreal on Nov. 8 and lost 2-0, with Nemanja Gudelj shielding the back four and Ünal as the lone striker. Getafe had 27.6% of the possession and nine shots to Villarreal's 22, and the plan depended on Satriano on the left and Ünal through the middle.

Zaid Romero returned to training after a left quadriceps injury suffered at Barcelona on Oct. 10. Coach José Bordalás said on Nov. 7 that the club would not risk him at Villarreal and hoped to have him back soon, according to EFE. Sebastián Boselli has started three straight games at center back in his absence and drawn praise from Bordalás, which sets up a selection decision when Romero is fit.

Forward Borja Mayoral missed the Villarreal game with a gastrointestinal virus, according to AS, and has played little in La Liga this season. Bordalás said Ünal sat out the Brighton game on Nov. 5 because of lingering ankle discomfort, and he started at Villarreal. Christantus Uche is out for the season with a cruciate ligament injury, according to FotMob.

What is the latest Atlético Madrid team news?

Atlético Madrid lined up in a 4-4-2 against Barcelona, with Marcos Llorente at right back and Álvarez and Lee Kang-In up front. Diego Simeone had two midfielders back from absences: Johnny Cardoso returned from a thigh injury and Morten Hjulmand returned from suspension, and both came off the bench.

Cristian Romero missed his fifth straight game against Barcelona with a muscle injury suffered against Espanyol on Oct. 17. Clarín said he is expected back for the Getafe game if his recovery stays on track, and AS wrote that he would have about two weeks to recover fully.

Lee started alongside Álvarez against Barcelona, with Jonathan David on the bench. Álvarez missed several chances against Barcelona, and Simeone said afterward the club would be patient with him.

How could Getafe line up?

Getafe are likely to line up in a 4-1-4-1:

• Goalkeeper: David Soria
• Right back: Dani Carvajal
• Right center back: Sebastián Boselli
• Left center back: Djené
• Left back: Johan Mojica
• Holding midfield: Nemanja Gudelj
• Right center midfield: Orel Mangala
• Left center midfield: Mario Martín
• Right wing: Andrés García
• Left wing: Martín Satriano
• Striker: Enes Ünal

How could Atlético Madrid line up?

Atlético Madrid are likely to line up in a 4-4-2:

• Goalkeeper: Jan Oblak
• Right back: Marcos Llorente
• Right center back: Marc Pubill
• Left center back: Dávid Hancko
• Left back: Alejandro Grimaldo
• Right center midfield: Koke
• Left center midfield: Pablo Barrios
• Right wing: Giuliano Simeone
• Left wing: Álex Baena
• Right striker: Lee Kang-In
• Left striker: Julián Álvarez
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What could decide Getafe vs Atlético Madrid?

Getafe need their home form to hold, and Atlético Madrid need to turn territory into goals.

Can Getafe's home form hold against Atlético Madrid?

Getafe scored in both of their home games in the last five, a 1-1 draw with Rayo Vallecano and a 3-1 win over Sevilla. They were shut out in all three away games in that stretch, at Barcelona, Athletic Club and Villarreal. Satriano and Ünal scored three of those four goals, so their fitness shapes whether the home pattern repeats.

Will Cristian Romero's return steady Atlético Madrid's defense?

Atlético Madrid conceded three goals in their last five league games, two of them to Barcelona. With Cristian Romero available, Simeone can pair him with Hancko and keep Llorente at right back.

Can Getafe's back line handle the volume of shots?

Getafe faced 89 shots and 28 on target in their last five league games, an average of 17.8 shots per game. Boselli, Djené and Mojica face that workload again, and Zaid Romero's return would change who takes the left side of the central pair.

Can Atlético Madrid turn pressure into goals?

Atlético Madrid took 19 shots against Espanyol and 20 against Deportivo and won both games 1-0. Álvarez also missed a one-on-one early against Barcelona, so a tight game at the Coliseum is the one Getafe will try to create.

What does the Getafe vs Atlético Madrid head-to-head history show?

Atlético Madrid have won the last two league meetings 1-0. They won at the Coliseum on Nov. 23, 2025, thanks to an 82nd-minute own goal, and at home on March 14, 2026, when Nahuel Molina scored in the seventh minute and Getafe's Abdel Abqar was sent off. Getafe's last win in the series was 2-1 at the Coliseum on March 9, 2025.

What could move Getafe vs Atlético Madrid prediction before kickoff?

Confirmed lineups are the first thing to watch. Cristian Romero's fitness decides how Atlético Madrid set up at the back, and Zaid Romero's fitness does the same for Getafe. Training reports and the first team sheets are the main inputs for anyone following sports prediction markets on a single game.

Up front, Ünal's ankle and Mayoral's recovery affect Getafe's options, while Simeone's choice between Lee and David shapes how Atlético Madrid attack a deep defense.

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