Fulham vs Newcastle United prediction, team news and lineups on Nov. 7, 2026
Fulham have steadied after a winless start, but they still need to finish the chances they create. Newcastle United arrive with four defeats in five games and a midfield that is changing by the day.
Soccer
By George Karmpoulonis

Fulham vs Newcastle United pairs a side that has found some stability with one that is sliding. Fulham went winless through their first six Premier League games (two draws, four defeats) and are now unbeaten in three. Newcastle United have lost four of their last five matches in all competitions.
Fulham are 15th with nine points from nine games, and Newcastle United are 13th with 11. The game at Craven Cottage asks whether Fulham's chance creation finally turns into goals against a defense that has conceded seven times in its last five league games.
This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
When is Fulham vs Newcastle United?
- Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
- Kickoff: 3:00 p.m. GMT / 10:00 a.m. ET
- Competition: Premier League
- Fulham win: 47%
- Draw: 26%
- Newcastle United win: 28%
What is the Fulham vs Newcastle United prediction?
Fulham are favorites at 47%, with Newcastle United at 28% and the draw at 26%, according to OG.com prediction markets. Market data as of November 5, 2026. For the latest market probabilities, check the OG.com platform.
Prediction market prices reflect implied probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes, and they can change as traders react to new information. The winner market settles on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and extra time and penalty shootouts are not included.
Fulham's case starts with territory and shot quality. Across their last five league games they averaged 58.1% possession and put 25 shots on target to their opponents' 16. Opta data credited them with 2.2 expected goals (xG) in the 1-1 draw at Aston Villa, and manager Alvaro Arbeloa said this week the answer is to keep creating chances while improving the finishing.
Newcastle United's route runs through a Fulham side that has conceded late. Three of the four goals Fulham allowed in their last five league games came from the 88th minute onward, so a level game entering the final 10 minutes gives Newcastle United a reason to push numbers forward. Fulham's own goal return is thin, too: only three of their five league goals in that stretch came from their own players.
Newcastle United's midfield is the biggest variable. Joelinton, Lewis Miley and Sean Steur could all be involved, and the mix decides how much control Newcastle United have in the middle. The question most likely to decide the game is whether Fulham can turn pressure into goals before Newcastle United's late pushes arrive.
Fulham vs Newcastle United win probabilities
- Fulham win – 47%
- Draw – 26%
- Newcastle United win – 28%
Fulham have drawn three of nine league games and won their last two 1-0, so their margins have been thin. A low-scoring game keeps both the draw and a Newcastle United win in play, and an early goal for either side would change how open the game becomes.
What is the latest Fulham team news?
Fulham used a 4-2-3-1 at Villa Park on October 31, with Bernd Leno in goal, Calvin Bassey and David Affengruber in central defense, and Sander Berge and Shea Charles in midfield. Josh King played behind Gonzalo García, with Oscar Bobb and Alex Iwobi on the flanks.
Ryan Sessegnon, who scored at Ipswich Town on October 10, is back after a three-match suspension for a red card against Hull City, according to The Stats Zone, which lists no Fulham absentees. Arbeloa made six changes for the 1-0 Carabao Cup defeat to Crystal Palace on October 28, so the Villa Park group is the best guide to his preferred XI.
What is the latest Newcastle United team news?
Newcastle United lined up in a 4-2-3-1 against Everton on November 2, with William Osula as the lone striker and Harvey Barnes and Anthony Elanga on the wings. The Daily Mail reports that a return to a 4-3-3 is under discussion, and that Matthias Jaissle does not think Steur and Nico González suit playing together as a midfield pair.
Goalkeeper Ewen Jaouen (hamstring) is out until December, and Jacob Ramsey is suspended after two yellow cards against Everton. Joelinton has a muscle issue, possibly cramp, and Jaissle says he may miss the trip, according to the Daily Mail. Miley and Matias Fernandez-Pardo are set to return from a glute problem and illness, according to the same report. Tino Livramento is recovering from a knee injury, and reports differ on how close he is to returning.
How could Fulham line up?
Fulham are likely to line up in a 4-2-3-1:
- Goalkeeper: Bernd Leno
- Right back: Timothy Castagne
- Right center back: David Affengruber
- Left center back: Calvin Bassey
- Left back: Antonee Robinson
- Right center midfield: Sander Berge
- Left center midfield: Shea Charles
- No. 10: Josh King
- Right wing: Oscar Bobb
- Left wing: Alex Iwobi
- Striker: Gonzalo García
How could Newcastle United line up?
Newcastle United are likely to line up in a 4-2-3-1, assuming Joelinton is available:
- Goalkeeper: Lukás Hornícek
- Right back: Amar Dedic
- Right center back: Fabian Schär
- Left center back: Dan Burn
- Left back: Lewis Hall
- Right center midfield: Joelinton
- Left center midfield: Nico González
- No. 10: Joe Willock
- Right wing: Anthony Elanga
- Left wing: Harvey Barnes
- Striker: William Osula
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What could decide Fulham vs Newcastle United?
Four contests inside the game look most likely to separate two clubs that sit two points apart.
Can Fulham turn control into goals?
Fulham outshot Hull City 18-5 in a 1-0 win and had 14 shots to Aston Villa's 16 in a 1-1 draw, with five on target to three. Their last five league goals came from Sessegnon, Iwobi and Bobb, plus two opponents' own goals. Newcastle United have conceded seven in the same span, so Fulham will test whether that volume converts into a lead.
Can Newcastle United's defense hold?
Newcastle United conceded four at Coventry City on October 12 and kept a clean sheet at Crystal Palace on October 25. They then lost 1-0 to Everton in the league despite 17 shots to 16, and 3-1 to the same opponent in the Carabao Cup. Fulham's clearest chance at Villa Park came when Antonee Robinson ran forward from left back and García's dummy let Bobb shoot, a sequence Zion Suzuki turned over the bar.
Can Fulham protect the final minutes?
Matheus Cunha's 89th-minute equalizer for Manchester United, and Abdoul Ouattara and Dara O'Shea at 88 minutes and 90+1 for Ipswich Town, account for three of the four goals Fulham conceded in their last five league games. Newcastle United used Yoane Wissa, Bazoumana Touré and Jacob Murphy off the bench against Everton, so they have attacking options if the game is level late.
Can Newcastle United create shots on target?
Newcastle United had two shots on target in each of their last two league games, a 2-0 win at Crystal Palace and the 1-0 loss to Everton, despite 17 attempts in the latter. Barnes looked sharpest against Everton, with a curling shot and a cross that bounced off Jarrad Branthwaite. If Osula and the wide players do not find the target, Fulham will face fewer testing shots than the volume suggests.
What does the Fulham vs Newcastle United head-to-head history show?
Fulham beat Newcastle United 2-0 at Craven Cottage on May 24, 2026, on the last day of the 2025-26 season. Fulham have won three of the last four meetings, according to The Stats Zone, and have won 11 and lost seven of 18 home Premier League meetings since 1992-93, with no draws.
What could move Fulham vs Newcastle United prediction before kickoff?
Newcastle United's selection news is the largest open item. Joelinton's muscle problem and the returns of Miley and Fernandez-Pardo change who starts in midfield and who can influence the game late. Fulham's XI looks more settled, with Sessegnon available again.
Confirmed lineups are typically released about an hour before kickoff, and late team news can move sports prediction markets before the game starts. Fulham vs Newcastle United is one of several Saturday fixtures on the daily sports prediction markets schedule.
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