Outcome
Before Jan 1, 2028
48%
Price
Contracts
Total
No asks
Before Jan 1, 2028 Yes
No bids
Before Oct 1, 2027
43%
Price
Contracts
Total
No asks
Before Oct 1, 2027 Yes
No bids
Before Jul 1, 2027
37%
Price
Contracts
Total
No asks
Before Jul 1, 2027 Yes
No bids
Before Apr 1, 2027
30%
Price
Contracts
Total
No asks
Before Apr 1, 2027 Yes
No bids
1
Opens
2
Closes
3
Payment issued
1 hour after results are determined
Chat
This market will resolve to "Yes" for any strike date before which a qualifying crypto market structure bill has been signed into law by the President of the United States. All other outcomes will resolve to "No". For purposes of this contract, "crypto market structure legislation" means any bill that does all of the following: - Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND - Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND - Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications. The following would NOT satisfy the settlement criterion: - Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure - Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework - Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) - Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities - Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions - Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts) - Bills that pass only one chamber of Congress - Bills that are vetoed and not overridden - State legislation of any kind Settlement is based on the date the qualifying bill is signed into law as reported by a consensus of sources. If no qualifying bill becomes law before January 1, 2028, all remaining open contracts resolve to "No". The official resolution sources are the agencies listed in Rule 14.67(c) in the CDNA Rulebook, which can be found here at https://www.nadex.com/rules/. The notice of submission pursuant to CFTC regulation 40.2(a) for Rule 14.67 can be found at https://assets.ctfassets.net/8c2uto3zas3h/5FYmSvzQOPoVlVO4bnGtIf/184180f54f954f7e4a2a832778b10c39/PUBLIC_CDNA_Statistic_Certification_of_Event_Contract.pdf Liquidity may be low while the event is live. Trading is temporarily paused during scheduled maintenance periods.
Learn more