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Politics

Will Crypto Market Structure Legislation Be Signed Into Law?

Jan 2, 2028

Outcome

Before Jan 1, 2028

48%

Price

Contracts

Total

No asks

Before Jan 1, 2028 Yes

No bids

Before Oct 1, 2027

43%

Price

Contracts

Total

No asks

Before Oct 1, 2027 Yes

No bids

Before Jul 1, 2027

37%

Price

Contracts

Total

No asks

Before Jul 1, 2027 Yes

No bids

Before Apr 1, 2027

30%

Price

Contracts

Total

No asks

Before Apr 1, 2027 Yes

No bids

1

Opens

Sep 12, 2026

2

Closes

Jan 2, 2028

3

Payment issued

1 hour after results are determined

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Prediction is an event contract that is a derivatives product offered by North American Derivatives Exchange, Inc. (NADEX), a CFTC-regulated exchange, which does business under the brand OG Prediction Markets (OG.com) and uses OG.com technology. Trading on OG.com involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. By trading you risk losing your cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on OG.com is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk.

Copyright © 2026 OG.com. All rights reserved.

OG.com privacy notice
Legal

This market will resolve to "Yes" for any strike date before which a qualifying crypto market structure bill has been signed into law by the President of the United States. All other outcomes will resolve to "No". For purposes of this contract, "crypto market structure legislation" means any bill that does all of the following: - Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND - Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND - Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications. The following would NOT satisfy the settlement criterion: - Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure - Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework - Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) - Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities - Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions - Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts) - Bills that pass only one chamber of Congress - Bills that are vetoed and not overridden - State legislation of any kind Settlement is based on the date the qualifying bill is signed into law as reported by a consensus of sources. If no qualifying bill becomes law before January 1, 2028, all remaining open contracts resolve to "No". The official resolution sources are the agencies listed in Rule 14.67(c) in the CDNA Rulebook, which can be found here at https://www.nadex.com/rules/. The notice of submission pursuant to CFTC regulation 40.2(a) for Rule 14.67 can be found at https://assets.ctfassets.net/8c2uto3zas3h/5FYmSvzQOPoVlVO4bnGtIf/184180f54f954f7e4a2a832778b10c39/PUBLIC_CDNA_Statistic_Certification_of_Event_Contract.pdf Liquidity may be low while the event is live. Trading is temporarily paused during scheduled maintenance periods.

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