Who Will Hold More Governorships After the Midterms?

This market resolves to "Yes" for the party that holds the greater number of governorships following the 2026 midterm elections. All other outcomes resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the total number of governorships held by a party is calculated by counting (i) uncontested governorships — those states without a scheduled gubernatorial election in 2026 — plus (ii) contested governorships won by that party's candidate, as determined by a consensus of Source Agencies. If the total number of governorships held by each party is equal following the 2026 midterm elections, the "Tie" outcome resolves to "Yes" and all other outcomes resolve to "No". Contested governorships are determined based on the overall winner of the designated election, including any potential second round or runoff, as reported by a consensus of Source Agencies. If a result has not been called for a contested governorship by the time all other results are known, settlement of this market may be delayed until a consensus of Source Agencies has reported the result of that race. If a scheduled gubernatorial election does not take place, the seat is treated as uncontested and attributed to the party of the incumbent governor. The official resolution sources are the agencies listed in Rule 14.65(c) in the CDNA Rulebook, which can be found here at https://www.nadex.com/rules/. The notice of submission pursuant to CFTC regulation 40.2(a) for Rule 14.65 can be found at https://www.cftc.gov/filings/ptc/ptc11052532006.pdf Liquidity may be low after election results start coming in. Trading is temporarily paused during scheduled maintenance periods.