Outcome
Emmanuel Macron (President of France)
78%
Price
Contracts
Total
No asks
Emmanuel Macron (President of France) Yes
No bids
Friedrich Merz (Chancellor of Germany)
62%
Price
Contracts
Total
No asks
Friedrich Merz (Chancellor of Germany) Yes
No bids
Donald Trump (President of the United States)
18%
Price
Contracts
Total
No asks
Donald Trump (President of the United States) Yes
No bids
Andy Burnham (Prime Minister of the United Kingdom)
15%
Price
Contracts
Total
No asks
Andy Burnham (Prime Minister of the United Kingdom) Yes
No bids
1
Opens
2
Closes
3
Payment issued
1 hour after results are determined
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This market resolves to "Yes" for the G7 leader who first leaves their currently held office. All other outcomes resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a leader is considered to have "left office" on the date they formally vacate the position. A public announcement of intent to resign or not seek re-election, or a loss in an election, does not constitute leaving office. The leader must have formally departed the role. If a leader listed as an outcome dies while in office, the market will be settled as Event Cancelled. In the event of cancellation, contracts are settled at the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) prior to cancellation. Settlement is based on the official result as reported by a consensus of sources. The official resolution sources are the agencies listed in Rule 14.67(c) in the CDNA Rulebook, which can be found here at https://www.nadex.com/rules/. The notice of submission pursuant to CFTC regulation 40.2(a) for Rule 14.67 can be found at https://assets.ctfassets.net/8c2uto3zas3h/5FYmSvzQOPoVlVO4bnGtIf/184180f54f954f7e4a2a832778b10c39/PUBLIC_CDNA_Statistic_Certification_of_Event_Contract.pdf Liquidity may be low while the event is live. Trading is temporarily paused during scheduled maintenance periods.
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