Outcome
0bps (Unchanged)
64%
Price
Contracts
Total
No asks
0bps (Unchanged) Yes
No bids
Hike <=25bps
53%
Price
Contracts
Total
No asks
Hike <=25bps Yes
No bids
Hike >25bps
6%
Price
Contracts
Total
No asks
Hike >25bps Yes
No bids
Cut >25bps
5%
Price
Contracts
Total
No asks
Cut >25bps Yes
No bids
1
Opens
2
Closes
3
Payment issued
1 hour after results are determined
Chat
You receive a US$1 return per contract if your prediction is correct and nothing if it is incorrect. This market resolves based on the change in basis points to the ECB deposit facility rate, compared to its level before the ECB meeting on 28-29 Oct 2026 ET. The official resolution source is the ECB’s published rate data: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html Liquidity may be low during the ECB meeting. Trading is temporarily paused during scheduled maintenance periods.
Learn more