Washington Wizards at Indiana Pacers prediction, team news and lineups on Nov. 11, 2026

The Wizards at Pacers game on Wednesday, Nov. 11 pairs two teams coming off double-digit losses. Washington (4-6) has lost three straight, including a 114-75 defeat at Oklahoma City, and Indiana (3-7) has lost five of its last six after a 114-102 loss to Denver in Mexico City.

The Pacers are 0-4 at home, while the Wizards are 2-4 on the road. Washington has allowed at least 114 points in each of its last three games, and that defensive problem sets up the central question for Indiana's offense without Haliburton.

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

When is Wizards at Pacers?

• Date: Wednesday, November 11, 2026
• Tip-off: 7 p.m. ET
• Competition: NBA, 2026–27 regular season
• Home team: Pacers
• Later meetings: January 17 in Washington and January 30 in Indianapolis
• Wizards win: 37%
• Pacers win: 64%

The game is one part of Wednesday's daily sports prediction markets schedule.

What is the Wizards at Pacers prediction?

The Pacers are favorites at 64%, with the Wizards at 37%, according to OG.com prediction markets. Market data as of November 9, 2026. For the latest market probabilities, check the OG.com platform.

Indiana's strongest route runs through speed and the paint. Over its last five games the Pacers outscored opponents 74-49 on fast-break points and averaged 44 points in the paint, while the Wizards allowed an average of 48.8 paint points over their last five. A team that gets to the rim quickly has room to work against a defense that is losing the interior.

Washington's route depends on Davis. When he plays, the Wizards have a scorer averaging 23.4 points and 9.3 rebounds who also blocks 1.1 shots per game. Without him, Washington lost both games and conceded 139 and 114 points. The Wizards also need a better shooting night than the 7-for-43 three-point performance at Oklahoma City, because Indiana is built to score in volume.

The Pacers' counter is the glass. Indiana has been outrebounded in all five of its last games (201-239 in total), so a Wizards team with Davis, Alex Sarr and Deandre Ayton can turn misses into second chances and slow the game down.

Wizards at Pacers win probabilities

• Wizards win: 37%
• Pacers win: 64%

These percentages reflect the market's expectations and work as implied probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. Sports prediction markets price each team's chance to win the full game. Prediction market prices can change as traders react to new information. Check the contract terms to see how overtime is handled.

How could Wizards at Pacers unfold?

Indiana's offense changes shape without Haliburton, who averaged 21.8 points and 9.5 assists in the Pacers' first four games before the hamstring injury. Andrew Nembhard has taken over much of the creation, scoring 22 or more points in three of Indiana's last five games, while Pascal Siakam provides the interior scoring.

The Pacers still run. They had 21 fast-break points against Denver and 19 at Memphis, and they have not trailed an opponent in fast-break points in any of their last five games (equal in one). That pressure builds after Washington misses. The Wizards shot 29-for-98 against Oklahoma City, and the Thunder won the fast-break count 21-11.

Washington's possessions look different. The Wizards want Trae Young and Kyshawn George to create early, then use Alex Sarr and a second big to attack the glass. When that works, as it did in the 132-139 loss at Atlanta, Washington scores freely (46-for-91 shooting) but still gives the points back on the other end.

The turnover battle gives the game a second layer. Indiana averaged 15 turnovers per game over its last five, while Washington averaged 14.2. A tight margin there leaves the paint and the three-point line to decide possessions.

What is the latest team news?

Both teams play on Monday, Nov. 9 (Washington at Detroit, Indiana at Dallas), so the status of several key players can change before Wednesday.

What is the latest on the Wizards?

Davis has missed the last two games with a right ankle sprain and is listed as questionable for Monday's game at Detroit. Washington has used two different frontcourts in his absence: Ayton started next to Sarr at Atlanta, and Bilal Coulibaly started at Oklahoma City with Ayton coming off the bench.

Tristan Vukcevic (left hip impingement), Reece Beekman (shoulder), Justin Champagnie (foot) and Jamir Watkins (knee) are listed as out.

What is the latest on the Pacers?

Haliburton remains out with a left hamstring strain. Coach Rick Carlisle said on Saturday that there is no timetable for his return and that the timeline is uncertain. Indiana has won one of the six games he has missed.

T.J. McConnell, back from a hamstring strain that kept him out of the first nine games, is listed as day-to-day. Johnny Furphy (knee) and Ben Sheppard (knee) are out for longer stretches after surgery.

What are the projected starting lineups?

Neither team has announced a starting five for Wednesday. The projections below follow each team's most recent starting groups and current availability.

How could the Wizards line up?

Projected starting five:

• Trae Young
• Kyshawn George
• AJ Dybantsa
• Anthony Davis
• Alex Sarr

This projection assumes Davis is available. Ayton or Coulibaly is the likely alternative if he is ruled out, as both started during his absence. Tre Johnson, who scored 23 points in 27 minutes off the bench at Atlanta, is a key reserve.

How could the Pacers line up?

Projected starting five:

• Braden Smith
• Andrew Nembhard
• Aaron Nesmith
• Pascal Siakam
• Ivica Zubac

This projection assumes Haliburton remains out. Kelly Oubre Jr., who started Indiana's games on Oct. 30 and Nov. 1, is the likely alternative on the wing. Larry Nance Jr., who scored 15 points in 13 minutes off the bench against Denver, is a key reserve.

What could decide Wizards at Pacers?

Three interactions are most likely to separate the teams, and each depends on the injury news above.

Can the Wizards protect the paint without Davis?

Washington allowed 62 paint points at Atlanta on Nov. 6 and 56 at Oklahoma City on Nov. 7, both without Davis. Indiana scored 54 in the paint against Atlanta on Nov. 2 and averages 44 over its last five. If Davis returns, Sarr and Davis give the Wizards two rim protectors, and Indiana would need to move the ball to find open shooters.

Can Indiana's speed offset its rebounding gap?

The Pacers were outrebounded in all five of their last games, and Ayton grabbed seven offensive rebounds in Washington's loss at Atlanta. Indiana's answer is to get the ball up the floor before the Wizards set their defense, and its 74-49 fast-break edge over five games shows the plan works. The Wizards' counter is to send fewer players to the offensive glass and protect against runouts.

Who wins the three-point line?

Indiana made 65 of 191 threes (34.0%) over its last five games, and Washington made 50 of 157 (31.8%). Opponents shot 76 of 209 (36.4%) from three against the Pacers, so the Pacers' defense also has work to do on the perimeter. Washington needs its shooters to bounce back from the 7-for-43 night in Oklahoma City, or the paint deficit grows.

What could move Wizards at Pacers prediction?

Davis's status after Monday's game at Detroit is the largest pending decision. His return would give Washington its best interior scorer and rebounder, and another missed game would put Ayton or Coulibaly back in the starting five.

For Indiana, Haliburton's timeline is uncertain, and McConnell's hamstring status affects how many ball handlers Carlisle can use. If Haliburton returns, Indiana regains its lead playmaker and the starting backcourt changes.

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