Predicting the Pro Basketball Playoffs
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After a long 82-game regular season, we’ve finally reached the postseason for Professional Basketball. Ten teams in each conference will square off for a chance to represent their conference in the finals, where we will crown another champion to live on in the history books. There are a lot of the same cast and characters as you’ve seen in years past, but the situation each team is facing heading into these playoffs will determine how big a chance they have at raising the trophy. Will Oklahoma City become the first repeat champion since Golden State in 2017 and 2018? Can a play-in team go on a finals run as Miami did in 2023? Will Los Angeles C, Charlotte, Minnesota, Orlando or Phoenix win their first title in franchise history?
The Format of the Pro Basketball Playoffs
The Professional Basketball playoff format shifted when they were in the bubble for the 2020 postseason to make up for the fact that the end of the regular season was cancelled for COVID-19 earlier that year. They installed a play-in tournament between the seventh, eighth, ninth, and tenth seeds to see who would represent the seventh and eighth seeds in the field. In 2021, the league permanently established the play-in tournament as a part of the postseason. The seventh seed plays the eighth seed, with the winner officially becoming the seventh seed for the remainder of the playoffs. The ninth seed and the tenth seed also face off. The winner of that matchup then plays the loser of the other game for the opportunity to be the eighth seed for the remainder of the playoffs.
That takes us to the main postseason tournament bracket. In each conference, the eighth seed plays the first seed, the seventh plays the second, the sixth plays the third, and the fifth plays the fourth. The bracket does not reseed after these matchups, meaning that the winner of the fourth vs. fifth will play the winner of the first vs. the eighth, no matter which team moves on. Each series is a best-of-7 game series, where the first team to four wins moves on. The winner of each conference will face off in the finals for the championship.
Predicting the Pro Basketball Eastern Conference Playoffs
The team with the best odds to win the Eastern Conference is Boston. They won the championship in the 2024 playoffs by beating Dallas 4-1. That team, similar to this year’s team, was led by the superstar duo of Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum. Since then, however, they have gone through a major roster restructure, shipping away key title contributors like Kristaps Porzingis and Jrue Holiday to make way for players like Sam Hauser and Baylor Scheierman. On top of that, in last year’s Eastern Conference semi-finals, Jayson Tatum tore his Achilles in game four vs. New York and missed the rest of the playoffs and a majority of this season. He returned to the lineup on March 6th this year, and Boston has gone 15-5 since. They’re playing some of their best basketball of the season, which is why our predictive markets give them a 39% chance to win the Eastern Conference and a 15% chance to win the championship, the best odds of any team in the East.
Predicting the Pro Basketball Western Conference Playoffs
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