Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks prediction, team news and lineups on Nov. 11, 2026

The Cavaliers at Knicks rematch on Wednesday, Nov. 11, arrives four days after the Knicks beat the Cavaliers 109-97 on their home floor. Jalen Brunson scored 31 points and Karl-Anthony Towns added 29 in the first meeting since the Knicks swept last season's Eastern Conference finals.

The Cavaliers played that game without center Jarrett Allen and guards Sam Merrill and Jaylon Tyson, and Allen's knee is the largest open question for the rematch. The Knicks are waiting on Josh Hart's ankle, with a starting wing spot and the bench rotation both tied to his status.

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

When is Cavaliers at Knicks?

• Date: Wednesday, November 11, 2026
• Tip-off: 7 p.m. ET
• Competition: NBA, 2026–27 regular season
• Home team: Knicks
• Cavaliers win: 38%
• Knicks win: 62%

Both teams play first. The Cavaliers visit the Hornets on Monday to open a three-game road trip that continues at the Knicks and Heat, and the Knicks host the Bucks on Tuesday. Those games sit inside the wider slate of daily sports prediction markets.

What is the Cavaliers at Knicks prediction?

The Knicks are favorites at 62%, with the Cavaliers at 38%. The Knicks' case starts with Nov. 7, when both teams shot 42.7% from the field and the Knicks still won by 12 because they took 96 shots to the Cavaliers' 82. Market data as of November 9, 2026. For the latest market probabilities, check the OG.com platform.

The extra shots came from the glass. The Knicks outrebounded the Cavaliers 49-40 and outscored them 26-8 on second-chance points, according to the NBA's official game book. They have also won the rebounding battle in each of their last five games, 244-190 combined, which gives them a repeatable way to create possessions when their shots are not falling.

The Cavaliers' route runs through Donovan Mitchell and a healthier frontcourt. Mitchell scored a season-high 37 points on Nov. 7, including 21 in the fourth quarter, and the Cavaliers mounted a comeback before a late Brunson jumper held them off. With Allen back, Evan Mobley could move from center to forward, adding size on a glass where the Cavaliers were outrebounded in three of their last five games.

Allen's absence explains only part of the rebounding gap. The Cavaliers outrebounded the 76ers 56-42 on Nov. 6 without him, and the Thunder beat them 54-46 on the glass on Nov. 2 with Allen playing 28 minutes. His return helps, and the larger test is whether the Cavaliers finish defensive possessions against a Towns-led frontcourt.

Cavaliers at Knicks win probabilities

• Cavaliers win: 38%
• Knicks win: 62%

These percentages reflect the market's expectations, not guaranteed outcomes. Prediction market prices are implied probabilities that can change as traders react to new information, and a 38% price for the Cavaliers still leaves a clear path to a road win. Traders on sports prediction markets can follow how prices respond to injury reports. Check the contract terms to see how overtime is handled.

How could Cavaliers at Knicks unfold?

The Knicks want a half-court game decided by shot volume and Brunson's scoring bursts. In the first meeting, the Cavaliers led 39-37 before Brunson hit a three-pointer and then scored 18 straight points over 4:24 to put the Knicks up 52-45. Across his last five games he has scored 38, 24, 19, 33 and 31 points, an average of 29.0.

The Cavaliers' best counter is perimeter volume. They attempted 50 threes on Nov. 7 and made 16, and over their last five games they are 86 of 231 (37.2%) from deep. They won the fast-break count 15-10 in that game, which was not enough against a team that took 14 more field goal attempts.

Transition has been uneven for the Cavaliers. Over those five games they trail opponents 61-78 in fast-break points and lost that category in four of them, while the Knicks lead opponents 59-47 over their own last five.

What is the latest team news?

Both injury lists come down to one question: who absorbs the minutes of a missing starter? The answers shape the frontcourt for the Cavaliers and the wing rotation for the Knicks.

What is the latest on the Cavaliers?

Allen has missed two games with a right knee contusion, suffered in a knee-to-knee collision with Thunder guard Jared McCain on Nov. 4. He played seven minutes in that game. The NBA's Sunday injury report lists him as questionable for Monday's game at the Hornets.

With Allen out, Mobley moved to center and Thomas Bryant took more bench minutes. Saturday's NBA injury report listed Merrill (right elbow), Tyson (right ankle sprain) and Nae'Qwan Tomlin (low back stress reaction) as out.

What is the latest on the Knicks?

Hart missed the Nov. 4 game against the Bulls and the Nov. 7 game with right ankle soreness. Coach Mike Brown called the injury "nothing major," and Hart is listed as day-to-day. Through the Knicks' first seven games he averaged 8.6 points, 7.3 rebounds and 3.9 assists in 31.7 minutes.

Landry Shamet moved into the starting five in his place and scored 22 points off the bench against the Nets on Nov. 2 before starting the last two games.

What are the projected starting lineups?

Both projections rest on who is healthy by Wednesday, so each comes with its likeliest alternative.

How could the Cavaliers line up?

Projected starting five:

• James Harden
• Donovan Mitchell
• Meleek Thomas
• Peyton Watson
• Evan Mobley

This projection matches the group that started on Nov. 7 and assumes Allen is still out. If Allen is cleared, he is the likely starting center, with Mobley sliding to forward and one of the wings moving to the bench. Bryant is the key reserve big man.

How could the Knicks line up?

Projected starting five:

• Jalen Brunson
• Landry Shamet
• Mikal Bridges
• OG Anunoby
• Karl-Anthony Towns

This projection matches the group that started on Nov. 7 and assumes Hart is still out. If Hart is cleared, Shamet is the likeliest player to move back to the bench, since Hart started the Knicks' first seven games. Jordan Clarkson and Miles "Deuce" McBride are the main reserve guards.

What could decide Cavaliers at Knicks?

Three questions look the most likely to settle a rematch between two teams that shot identically from the field in the first meeting.

Can the Cavaliers keep the Knicks off the offensive glass?

The Knicks' 26-8 edge in second-chance points on Nov. 7 came with Towns scoring 29. Over their last five games the Knicks have out-rebounded opponents by 54 (244-190), while the Cavaliers' margin is six (243-237). Even if Allen plays, the Cavaliers need their wings to join the rebounding effort.

Can the Cavaliers slow Jalen Brunson's scoring runs?

Brunson's 18 straight points came right after the Cavaliers took a 39-37 lead, and the Knicks left that stretch ahead 52-45. A shorter answer from the Cavaliers, such as a quick score or a timeout after the first basket, limits how far one run can swing a quarter.

Can the Cavaliers' three-point volume keep up?

The Cavaliers made 18 of 49 and 19 of 49 threes in their two losses to the Thunder and still lost, outscored 13-7 and 21-12 in fast-break points. Mitchell's 37 points show the shotmaking is there. The Cavaliers need those threes to arrive alongside stops that do not hand the Knicks transition chances.

What does the Cavaliers at Knicks head-to-head history show?

The Knicks have won five straight against the Cavaliers, counting last season's four-game conference finals sweep and the Nov. 7 win. Game 4 of that series was a 37-point Knicks win on the Cavaliers' home floor.

The Nov. 7 game is the more useful guide because it used both teams' current rotations. The Cavaliers were missing three rotation players that night, so a fuller roster could narrow the gap.

What could move Cavaliers at Knicks prediction?

Two pending decisions carry the most basketball weight. If Allen returns, the Cavaliers gain a second big man next to Mobley, which speaks directly to the Knicks' second-chance edge.

If Hart returns, the Knicks add a wing who averaged 7.3 rebounds before his injury, and Shamet's scoring shifts back to the second unit.

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