Jonas Forejtek vs Moise Kouame

The market is telling two stories: Kouame YES at 0.82 (82% implied) versus Forejtek YES at 0.46 (46% implied). In a binary market those probabilities must sum to ~100%, not 128% — so one quote is stale or mispriced. If Kouame's 0.82 is live, he's a heavy favorite at the Monastir Challenger and Forejtek is dramatically overpriced, making Forejtek NO at 0.54 the standout position. If Forejtek's 0.46 is current, Kouame is overbought and NO Kouame at 0.18 is the value. Verify which quote is live, then take the discounted side.