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Prediction is an event contract that is a derivatives product offered by North American Derivatives Exchange, Inc. (NADEX), a CFTC-regulated exchange, which does business under the brand OG Prediction Markets (OG.com) and uses OG.com technology. Trading on OG.com involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. By trading you risk losing your cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on OG.com is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk.

Copyright © 2026 OG.com. All rights reserved.

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Legal

Climate

2026 Rank Among Hottest Years on Record

Jan 1, 2027 4:59 am UTC

$107,595 vol

Outcome

1

79%

Price

Contracts

Total

No asks

1 Yes

No bids

2

28%

Price

Contracts

Total

No asks

2 Yes

No bids

3

8%

Price

Contracts

Total

No asks

3 Yes

No bids

6+

6%

Price

Contracts

Total

No asks

6+ Yes

No bids

1

Opens

Jan 30, 2026

2

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 4:59 am UTC

3

Payment issued

1 hour after results are determined

Chat

You receive a US$1 return per contract if your prediction is correct and nothing if it is incorrect. This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data, on the date which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index publishes the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is. Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc. If 2026 ties with any other year, the market will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies on the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index. This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available on the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised. The official resolution sources are the agencies listed in RULE 14.70 in the CDNA Rulebook, which can be found here https://www.nadex.com/rules/. Liquidity may be low after the election results start coming in. Trading is temporarily paused during scheduled maintenance periods. Settlement Source: Rule 14.70(c) in CDNA Rulebook

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