Minnesota Timberwolves at New York Knicks prediction and team news
Prediction markets currently make the New York Knicks 56% favorites over the Minnesota Timberwolves at 46% on Monday night. Rest tags on most of the Timberwolves' regulars make their rotation the open question.
Basketball
By George Karmpoulonis
Prediction markets lean toward the Knicks at home, but the Timberwolves' rest list turns a preseason finale into a test of depth.
The Minnesota Timberwolves finish their preseason at the New York Knicks on Monday, October 12, with opposite records and a similar need. Minnesota is 2-1 after a 125-124 win at Miami. New York is 0-2 after a 111-109 loss to Washington.
Those results say less than the lineups behind them. Minnesota changed its starting five in Miami, while the Knicks' starters have played short minutes.
That makes this a look at who is ready and for how long.
This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Minnesota Timberwolves at New York Knicks game snapshot
Date: Monday, October 12, 2026
Tip-off: 7:30 p.m. ET
Competition: NBA, 2026-27 preseason
Home team: New York Knicks
46%
Minnesota Timberwolves win:
New York Knicks win: 56%
Minnesota Timberwolves at New York Knicks prediction
Prediction markets for Minnesota @ New York currently make the Knicks 56% favorites, with the Timberwolves at 46%.
[INSERT MARKET ODDS SCREENSHOT]
Market data as of October 12, 2026. For the latest market-implied probability, check the OG app.
The Knicks' case starts with continuity. Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, Josh Hart, OG Anunoby and Karl-Anthony Towns started both preseason games together, and none went past 21 minutes. That group has barely played, yet it has more shared floor time than a Minnesota lineup built from reserves.
Their vulnerability is the glass. New York gave up 53 rebounds to Washington after allowing 53 to Philadelphia, and it shot 8 of 41 from three in Philadelphia.
Minnesota's route runs through transition and the paint. The Timberwolves scored 56 points in the paint at Milwaukee and added 23 fast-break points at Miami. That pace tests a Knicks group still working on its rebounding.
Minnesota Timberwolves at New York Knicks win probabilities
Minnesota Timberwolves win: 46%
New York Knicks win: 56%
These prices favor the Knicks. The reason sits in the rest list: Minnesota's price depends on whether its first unit or its bench group takes the floor.
Minnesota Timberwolves at New York Knicks game outlook
The central matchup is New York's rebounding against Minnesota's tempo. The Timberwolves have held the glass close, winning it 51 to 47 at Milwaukee. The Knicks were outrebounded in both games.
Indiana scored 50 points in the paint against Minnesota, while Milwaukee managed 26. That is the swing for the Timberwolves: protect the rim and they run, leave it open and Brunson and Towns get clean looks.
The Knicks can shrink the game through Brunson's pick-and-roll, with Towns popping to the perimeter. If a Minnesota big follows Towns out, Hart and Anunoby can attack the vacated rim, and if he stays home, Towns has space to shoot.
Minnesota's turnovers are the other pressure point, since live-ball giveaways feed the fast break that powered its wins.
Team news and injuries
Minnesota Timberwolves
ESPN lists Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Jonathan Kuminga, Ayo Dosunmu and Rudy Gobert as day-to-day for rest, and Donte DiVincenzo is out with an Achilles injury. If Edwards sits, creation falls to Bones Hyland, who scored 23 points at Miami, and Zyon Pullin, who scored 22 in 28.
If Gobert sits again, Joan Beringer is the rim protector. He started in Miami and played 24 minutes.
New York Knicks
Kevin McCullar Jr., Tony Bradley, Ochai Agbaji and Drew Eubanks are listed day-to-day on coach's decision. Their absence would thin the reserve wings and bigs and push more minutes to Landry Shamet, who scored 13 points in 16 minutes against Washington.
ESPN reported that the Knicks are tabling extension talks with Towns and Hart until later in the season.
Expected starting lineups
Minnesota Timberwolves lineups
Projected starting five:
Bones Hyland
Jaylen Clark
Terrence Shannon Jr.
Trey Lyles
Joan Beringer
This projection repeats the group that started in Miami and assumes the rest-listed regulars stay out. If they play, LaMelo Ball, Edwards, McDaniels, Kuminga and Gobert are the first unit that started the opening two games. Antonio Reeves gives the bench scoring.
New York Knicks lineups
Projected starting five:
Jalen Brunson
Mikal Bridges
Josh Hart
OG Anunoby
Karl-Anthony Towns
This is the five that started both preseason games and assumes all of them participate. Shamet gives Brunson a second ball handler when the starters rest.
Key factors that could decide Minnesota Timberwolves at New York Knicks
Can the Knicks finish defensive possessions?
Every missed Minnesota shot that turns into a second chance cancels what the Knicks gain by forcing turnovers.
Can Minnesota's depth guard the paint?
If Beringer or another big stays near the rim, the Knicks' drives become harder and Minnesota's fast break comes into play.
Which group creates when the starters rest?
Hyland and Pullin produced 45 points between them at Miami, and Shamet's scoring helped keep New York close against Washington. The side whose reserves find the better shot after the starters sit controls the fourth quarter.
What could move Minnesota Timberwolves at New York Knicks market price?
The Timberwolves' rest-listed regulars, led by Edwards and Gobert, decide whether Minnesota brings its first unit or the group that won in Miami. Announced starters for either team would settle the projections above.
For New York, the coach's-decision designations on McCullar, Bradley, Agbaji and Eubanks matter less than the minutes Brunson and Towns receive. A larger workload for the starters would make New York's continuity edge more relevant.
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