Baltimore Ravens vs Dallas Cowboys prediction and odds

The Baltimore Ravens vs Dallas Cowboys matchup puts Lamar Jackson against a defense that struggled to contain another mobile quarterback last week. Baltimore let a fourth-quarter lead slip against New Orleans, while Dallas rebounded with four Dak Prescott touchdown passes against Washington. Both teams are 1-1, and the question is whether the Cowboys can contain Jackson without giving Derrick Henry room to take over.

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Baltimore Ravens vs Dallas Cowboys prediction snapshot

• Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
• Kickoff: 5:25 p.m. Brasília time / 4:25 p.m. ET / 3:25 p.m. CT
• Competition: NFL, Week 3
• Baltimore Ravens win: 59%
• Dallas Cowboys win: 41%

Dallas is the designated home team for this international game in Brazil, rather than playing in its usual home setting.

Baltimore Ravens vs Dallas Cowboys prediction

Baltimore gets the narrow prediction because Jackson and Henry can attack Dallas' most exposed weakness. Washington rushed for 182 yards against the Cowboys, including 69 from Jayden Daniels before his halftime injury. Dallas won 37-20, but that result did not resolve its problems containing a quarterback who can escape pressure.

The Ravens have already shown how productive their offense can be under coordinator Declan Doyle. They gained 506 yards in their opening win over Indianapolis, with Henry rushing for 144 yards and three touchdowns. Keeping Dallas' edge defenders occupied with Jackson could create the space Henry needs inside, particularly against a defense dealing with injuries at linebacker and safety.

Baltimore's second game supplied the warning. A 17-9 lead became a 24-17 loss to New Orleans, with the Ravens failing to generate a first down on either of their two possessions before the final drive. Receiver shortages and an unsettled left-tackle situation make sustaining offense less straightforward than the opening performance suggested.

Dallas has a convincing counter through the air. Prescott completed 26 of 31 passes for 279 yards against Washington, with CeeDee Lamb producing 153 receiving yards and two touchdowns. Jake Ferguson caught the other two scoring passes. That combination can challenge a Ravens defense that conceded consecutive touchdown drives in the fourth quarter against the Saints.

The lean is Baltimore, provided its protection holds up well enough to keep the running and passing games connected. Dallas can overturn that edge by forcing longer third downs and making Prescott's passing game the dominant influence. The Ravens' injury picture leaves that possibility very much open.

Baltimore Ravens vs Dallas Cowboys prediction-market odds

• Baltimore Ravens win - 59%
• Dallas Cowboys win - 41%

Market data as of September 21, 2026.

The chart shows Baltimore retaining the lead after an earlier dip in its price. The current 18-percentage-point gap favors the Ravens without putting Dallas out of reach. Jackson's ability to challenge the Cowboys on the ground supports that position; Baltimore's receiving and protection concerns are the clearest reasons for caution.

Baltimore Ravens vs Dallas Cowboys game outlook

Baltimore's most useful opening question is how Dallas handles multiple run threats on the same play. Doyle can use motion and tight-end formations to change blocking angles for Henry, with Jackson threatening the outside. Linebackers who react too quickly to the handoff can leave space behind them for play-action throws.

Dallas needs its interior front to resist Henry without requiring every defender to step toward the line. That would let the safeties remain involved in coverage and give the edge rushers a clearer assignment against Jackson. If the Cowboys must repeatedly add help inside, Baltimore gains more room to attack outside or throw behind the linebackers.

When Dallas has the ball, Brian Schottenheimer can use quicker throws to Lamb and Ferguson to make Baltimore defend horizontally before attacking deeper. The Cowboys rushed for only 66 yards against Washington, so Javonte Williams and the line also need to contribute enough to prevent Prescott from carrying every difficult possession.

An early Baltimore lead would keep Henry involved and make Dallas defend the full offense. A Dallas lead would place more responsibility on a potentially short-handed Ravens passing game. Neither team needs a turnover-heavy game to win, but either offense would become considerably easier to defend if penalties and sacks repeatedly create third-and-long.

Team news and injuries

Baltimore Ravens

Zay Flowers missed the Saints game with a hamstring injury, while rookie receiver Ja'Kobi Lane is on injured reserve with a wrist injury. Flowers' availability remains a major variable because his speed can stretch coverage and create gains after the catch. Rashod Bateman handled the leading receiving role against New Orleans, finishing with seven catches for 88 yards and a touchdown.

Ronnie Stanley started after a toe injury limited his preparation, then left in the third quarter. Carson Vinson replaced him. Whether Stanley can handle a full workload matters to both pass protection and the range of runs Baltimore can call to the left side.

Trey Hendrickson played with a heavily wrapped hand and recorded his first sack as a Raven. Nnamdi Madubuike missed another game with a neck injury. Their availability and effectiveness affect how much pressure Jesse Minter's defense can create without sending extra defenders at Prescott.

Dallas Cowboys

Dallas was already without safety Malik Hooker, recovering from a fractured forearm, and linebacker DeMarvion Overshown, who has a hamstring strain, before its defensive injury list grew against Washington. Safety P.J. Locke left with a foot injury, and cornerback Cobie Durant departed with a hamstring injury. Schottenheimer said further testing was needed rather than providing return dates.

Those developments matter against an offense that makes defenders balance run responsibilities with coverage. Further changes in the secondary would put more pressure on Dallas' communication and tackling.

On offense, T.J. Bass is filling in at left guard following Tyler Smith's thumb injury. Prescott's passing performance showed Dallas can still function with that change, but protecting the interior remains important against Baltimore's pressure packages.

Key factors that could decide Baltimore Ravens vs Dallas Cowboys

Can Dallas contain Jackson rather than simply pressure him?

NFL Next Gen Stats credited Dallas with nine pressures using four rushers against Washington, up from two in its opener. The Cowboys still finished without a sack, and Daniels repeatedly escaped. Against Jackson, Christian Parker needs coordinated rush lanes as much as individual wins. A defender beating his blocker can help the offense if it opens an unguarded route out of the pocket.

Can Baltimore's left side hold up?

Stanley's toe injury makes the matchup with Dallas' edge rotation particularly important. Rashan Gary and Donovan Ezeiruaku can challenge the outside, while Quinnen Williams and Kenny Clark can prevent Jackson from stepping forward comfortably. Baltimore can offer help with a tight end or back, but that reduces the number of immediate receiving options. Winning first down would make those protection choices less restrictive.

Who accounts for Ferguson when Lamb draws help?

Lamb's ability to separate forces Baltimore to decide where it wants extra coverage. Ferguson can attack the space that decision leaves inside, especially when Prescott gets the ball out before pressure arrives. Kyle Hamilton and Roquan Smith give the Ravens options for defending the middle, but they also have run responsibilities. Dallas' best passing possessions should make those defenders commit before Prescott chooses his target.

Baltimore Ravens vs Dallas Cowboys head-to-head

The last regular-season meeting ended in a 28-25 Baltimore win in September 2024. Henry rushed for 151 yards and two touchdowns, helping the Ravens build a lead they protected through a late Dallas comeback.

Jackson, Henry and Prescott remain central to the matchup, but Baltimore has changed its coaching staff and Dallas has rebuilt much of its defense. The useful connection is the challenge of defending Henry and Jackson together, rather than an expectation that the previous result will repeat.

What could move Baltimore Ravens vs Dallas Cowboys odds before kickoff?

Flowers' availability would change how Dallas can defend the field. His return would give Baltimore another receiver who can punish extra attention to the run; another absence would increase the importance of Bateman and the tight ends.

Stanley's workload is just as significant. A healthy left tackle would give Doyle more freedom with protection and route combinations. A limitation would create a more obvious pressure target for Dallas, even if Jackson remains capable of escaping it.

The Cowboys' defensive updates could also narrow or widen the gap. Getting experience back at linebacker and safety would help against Baltimore's moving formations, while further absences could require another reshuffled group. A confirmed limitation on Hendrickson would also matter, reducing Baltimore's options for pressuring Prescott while keeping help in coverage.

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