Yes
No
Yes
Timeline
1
Opens
2
Closes
3
Payment issued
1 hour after results are determined
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Disclaimer:
Prediction is an event contract that is a derivatives product offered by North American Derivatives Exchange, Inc. (NADEX), a CFTC-regulated exchange, which does business under the brand OG Prediction Markets (OG.com) and uses OG.com technology. Trading on OG.com involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. By trading you risk losing your cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on OG.com is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk.
How It Works
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the designated market capitalization for SpaceX (SPCX) is greater than or equal to $2,000,000,000,000 ($2.000 trillion) at 4:00 PM ET on Friday, July 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Market capitalization is calculated as the designated reference price multiplied by the designated shares-outstanding figure, using a uniform methodology and reporting source. The official resolution sources are the agencies listed in Rule 14.68(c) in the CDNA Rulebook, which can be found here https://www.nadex.com/rules/. The notice of submission pursuant to CFTC regulation 40.2(a) for Rule 14.68 can be found at https://assets.ctfassets.net/8c2uto3zas3h/7w5E7Lp4YMAUvv0c7ssYUr/c5bf8080840bb947bbfa7febfb8c1eab/CDNA_Certification_of_Industry__Event_Contract.pdf. For purposes of settling this contract the values used will be based on the figures reported by the Source Agency and not by the company. Trading is temporarily paused during scheduled maintenance periods.
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