Yes
No
Luis Arraez
Tarik Skubal
Adley Rutschman
Hunter Goodman
Timeline
1
Event begins
2
Event ends
Results are determined
3
Payment issued
Shortly after results are determined
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Disclaimer:
Prediction is an event contract that is a derivatives product offered by North American Derivatives Exchange, Inc. (NADEX), a CFTC-regulated exchange, which does business under the brand OG Prediction Markets (OG.com) and uses OG.com technology. Trading on OG.com involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. By trading you risk losing your cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on OG.com is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk.
How It Works
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player is officially traded to a different Major League Baseball (MLB) team on or before 11:59 PM ET on August 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The trade must be officially processed and approved by Major League Baseball on or before August 5, 2026 (11:59 PM ET), for the market to resolve to "Yes". If the specified player is officially traded, but later fails a physical examination or the trade is rescinded for any reason after being officially processed, the market nonetheless resolves to "Yes". The official resolution sources are the agencies listed in Rule 14.68(c) in the CDNA Rulebook, which can be found at https://www.nadex.com/rules/. The notice of submission pursuant to CFTC regulation 40.2(a) for Rule 14.68 can be found at https://assets.ctfassets.net/8c2uto3zas3h/7w5E7Lp4YMAUvv0c7ssYUr/c5bf8080840bb947bbfa7febfb8c1eab/CDNA_Certification_of_Industry__Event_Contract.pdf. Insider trading is prohibited, and the exchange has jurisdiction to enforce insider (and other market conduct) infractions in accordance with the terms of CDNA membership and the CDNA Rulebook found at https://www.nadex.com/rules/. Liquidity may be low while news breaks. Trading is temporarily paused during scheduled maintenance periods.
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