Elon Musk
Victor Glover
James Talarico
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Shehbaz Sharif
Jeremy Hansen
Reid Wiseman
Dario Amodei
Sam Altman
Jerome Powell
Peter Magyar
Bad Bunny
Alysa Liu
Zohran Mamdani
Pope Leo XIV
Taylor Swift
Christina Koch
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
Benjamin Netanyahu
TIMELINE
1
Opens
2
Closes
3
Payment issued
1 hour after results are determined
TRENDING MARKETS
Disclaimer:
Prediction is an event contract that is a derivatives product offered by North American Derivatives Exchange, Inc. (NADEX), a CFTC-regulated exchange, which does business under the brand OG Prediction Markets (OG) and uses OG technology. Trading on OG involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. By trading you risk losing your cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on OG is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk.
HOW IT WORKS
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the person or entity that is officially declared TIME's "Person of the Year" for 2026. The selection is determined by the official announcement made by TIME magazine. If TIME names a group or concept as Person of the Year (e.g., "The Guardians" in 2018 or "The Silence Breakers" in 2017), any listed individual who is explicitly named as part of that group and pictured on a relevant cover will resolve to "Yes." The individual must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group or concept winning. A listed outcome that is conceptually related to but not synonymous with the winner does not resolve to "Yes" (e.g., if "ChatGPT" wins, "AI" does not resolve to "Yes" and vice versa, as they are not synonymous). If multiple persons are named as co-winners, all listed outcomes that match any explicitly named co-winner will resolve to "Yes." If TIME does not announce a Person of the Year for 2026 (and instead uses variations such as "Entertainer of the Year" or "Hero of the Year"), all outcomes will resolve to "No." If two or more listed outcomes are tied or co-winners, each of those outcomes will resolve to "Yes." This market resolves based solely on the final winner(s) of the "Person of the Year" title. Being named as a "Finalist," appearing on a "Shortlist," or being a runner-up (e.g., "Person of the Year Finalists") does not constitute a "Yes" resolution. Only the individual or entity ultimately crowned as the "Person of the Year" will resolve to "Yes." If a listed outcome is named as a "Finalist" but is not the ultimate winner, that outcome will resolve to "No." If no Person of the Year is officially announced by December 31, 2026, all outcomes will resolve to "No." Later changes to the designation occurring after the initial official announcement will not be considered for settlement purposes; the initial official announcement governs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TIME magazine. The official resolution sources are the agencies listed in Rule 14.68(c) in the CDNA Rulebook, which can be found at https://www.nadex.com/rules/. The notice of submission pursuant to CFTC regulation 40.2(a) for Rule 14.68 can be found at https://www.cftc.gov/filings/ptc/ptc12152534688.pdf. Liquidity may be low while the event is live. Trading is temporarily paused during scheduled maintenance periods. Settlement Source: Rule 14.68(c) in the CDNA Rulebook
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