Yes
No
Patrick Bertoletti
James Webb
Geoffrey Esper
Nick Wehry
Timeline
1
Opens
2
Closes
3
Payment issued
1 hour after results are determined
Trending Markets
Disclaimer:
Prediction is an event contract that is a derivatives product offered by North American Derivatives Exchange, Inc. (NADEX), a CFTC-regulated exchange, which does business under the brand OG Prediction Markets (OG.com) and uses OG.com technology. Trading on OG.com involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. By trading you risk losing your cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on OG.com is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk.
How It Works
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the male participant (excluding Joey Chestnut) who eats the most hot dogs in the Men's Division of the 2026 Nathan's Famous Fourth of July International Hot Dog Eating Contest. All other outcomes will resolve to "No". If an official tiebreaker (such as a tiebreak eat-off) is used to determine a single winner among the tied competitors, that declared winner will be recognized for settlement purposes. If two or more competitors (excluding Joey Chestnut) are tied for the most hot dogs eaten and no official tiebreaker is used to declare a single winner, the market will settle at 1/n, where n is the total number of tied competitors. If a listed competitor does not participate in the event, the market for that competitor will resolve to "No". The official resolution sources are the agencies listed in Rule 14.67 Section (c) in the CDNA Rulebook, which can be found at https://www.nadex.com/rules/. The notice of submission pursuant to CFTC regulation 40.2(a) for Rule 14.67 can be found at https://assets.ctfassets.net/8c2uto3zas3h/5FYmSvzQOPoVlVO4bnGtIf/184180f54f954f7e4a2a832778b10c39/PUBLIC_CDNA_Statistic_Certification_of_Event_Contract.pdf. Liquidity may be low while the event is live. Trading is temporarily paused during scheduled maintenance periods. Settlement Source: Rule 14.67(c) in the CDNA Rulebook
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