TIMELINE
1
Opens
2
Closes
3
Payment issued
1 hour after results are determined
TRENDING MARKETS
Disclaimer:
Prediction is an event contract that is a derivatives product offered by Crypto.com | Derivatives North America (CDNA), a CFTC-regulated exchange through OG technology. Trading on CDNA involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. By trading you risk losing your cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on CDNA is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk.
HOW IT WORKS
You receive a US$1 return per contract if your prediction is correct and nothing if it is incorrect. The market resolves based on the highest ranking or score reported by a Source Agency (which may include Chatbot Arena LLM’s “Leaderboard” table; https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. If two models are tied for the top ranking or score reported by a Source Agency (which may include Chatbot Arena LLM’s “Leaderboard” table; https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in the outcomes group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")is announced. The official resolution sources are the agencies listed in RULE 14.68(c) in the CDNA Rulebook, which can be found here [https://www.nadex.com/rules/]. Liquidity may be low near the event's conclusion. Trading is temporarily paused during scheduled maintenance periods.
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